Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Atlanta Braves kick off a fresh series with the Washington Nationals on Friday, seeking to sustain their winning ways and secure another win against the spread.
The Braves, 34-17 ATS this season, catch -110 to cover -1.5 runs.
Momentum: The Atlanta Braves claimed the last 3 games of their series against the Miami Marlins to win that series. Atlanta is currently the top dog in the NL East with a 35-16 record.
The Washington Nationals fell short of sweeping the New York Mets after a 1-2 loss in Game 3. Washington sits at third in the NL West with a 25-26 record, 10 games behind the Braves.
The Matchup: The Braves have won 8 of their last 10 meetings with the Nationals. Atlanta also secured 3 of 4 games in their first series with the Nats this season in April.
Bryce Elder (4-2, 2.01 ERA) gave up 3 earned runs over 8 innings in a 2-3 loss to Boston on May 16. Elder also surrendered 3 earned runs over 6.2 innings in a 9-4 win over the Nats on April 20.
Mike Mikolas (1-3, 6.91 ERA) has posted stable numbers since giving up 11 earned runs over four innings in a 6-13 loss to the Dodgers. In his last mound appearance, Mikolas threw one earned run over 3.1 innings in a 10-4 win over Cincinnati on May 12.
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Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.605 | 81 | 49 | 32 |
|
13
|
0.5 | 84 | 42 | 42 |
Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 21, 2026 - MLB
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May 16, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
May 15, 2026 - MLB
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May 12, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 21, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2026 - MLB
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May 16, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2026 - MLB
May 20, 2026 - MLB
May 19, 2026 - MLB
May 18, 2026 - MLB
May 17, 2026 - MLB
May 16, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 14, 2026 - MLB
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May 12, 2026 - MLB
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May 8, 2026 - MLB
Atlanta Braves against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 23, 2026 - MLB
Apr 22, 2026 - MLB
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Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals Key Points
- Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Atlanta is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games against Atlanta.
- Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League East Division
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Best Pick: The Braves cover -1.5 runs in the series opener. Atlanta is torching their opponents lately, averaging 7 runs per game on a .271 batting average over their last five games.
Washington’s offense has also delivered by averaging 5.5 runs per game on a .250 BA in their last five assignments.
However, Atlanta’s pitching staff has just made a big difference this season, allowing the team to post a 34-17 record against the spread.
Starter Bryce Elder should keep the Nats’ batters in check through 6 or 7 innings before the Braves’ bullpen (3.13 ERA this season) takes over and shuts the door on Washington. Mike Mikolas will continue to put up decent numbers on the mound, as he has historically pitched well against the Braves.
However, it will be during the last three innings that Washington appears vulnerable in most games this season, mainly because of their bullpen, which is yielding nearly 5 runs per game with a 4.95 ERA.
Our betting prediction for the Washington Nationals vs. the Atlanta Braves: The Braves -1.5 Runs.
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