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by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks
In a WNBA Commissioner’s Cup showdown at Wintrust Arena, the Chicago Sky host the Washington Mystics in a matchup between two teams fighting to stay afloat in the early Cup standings. Both teams enter the game with a 1-3 record in Commissioner’s Cup play, and while this won’t decide the season, it could set the tone for which squad pulls itself out of the basement first.
The Sky sit at 11th overall in the WNBA standings, while the Mystics rank slightly better at ninth. Neither team has managed to string together consistent success this season, though both have shown flashes of potential. For Washington, the biggest question mark is offensive consistency. After their best scoring game of the season, the Mystics followed it with a dismal 89-56 loss at home to Atlanta, shooting just 29.5% from the field and hitting only three shots from beyond the arc.
Chicago, on the other hand, snapped a three-game losing skid with a convincing 78-66 road win over the Connecticut Sun. The Sky were efficient, shooting 42.9% from the field and 35% from three-point range, which is a step forward for a team that has struggled to find rhythm on offense.
Despite their similar Cup records, the Mystics have performed better statistically across the board. They average more points per game, shoot at a higher percentage, and allow 10 fewer points per game than the Sky. Even though Washington is coming off its worst game of the season, that loss may serve as motivation rather than a red flag.
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Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
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0.364 | 11 | 4 | 7 | -1 |
5
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0.3 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Washington Mystics and Chicago Sky Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
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May 30, 2025 - WNBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
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May 31, 2025 - WNBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA
May 29, 2025 - WNBA
May 22, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 15, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 8, 2024 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 13, 2025 - WNBA
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May 31, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
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Washington Mystics against Chicago Sky : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Sep 11, 2024 - WNBA
Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 14, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 6, 2024 - WNBA
Washington Mystics - Chicago Sky Key Points
- The Mystics are 15-8 ATS in their last 23 games
- The Sky are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games
- The Under is 6-2 in the Mystics' last 8 games
- The Under is 4-1 in the Sky's last 5 games
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Our Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky Prediction
The Sky are still adjusting to life without veteran guard Courtney Vandersloot, who is out for the season. Her absence leaves a clear void in playmaking and offensive leadership. While Marina Mabrey and Dana Evans have taken on larger roles, the team still lacks consistent perimeter efficiency and late-game poise.
For the Mystics, guard Brittney Sykes stands out as the most impactful player on the court. Her two-way ability—leading in scoring while also disrupting opponents defensively—gives Washington a clear advantage in top-tier talent. If Sykes can stay out of foul trouble and remain aggressive on both ends, she may dictate the game’s pace and tempo.
Given Chicago’s ongoing struggles on defense and Washington’s elite defensive rebounding, this could be another game where the under has value. If Washington can control the tempo and force Chicago into tough, contested shots, the game may follow last season’s script.
Despite their inconsistency, the Mystics enter this game with a statistical edge and a proven defensive identity. Chicago’s offensive rebounding is their strongest weapon, but Washington’s rebounding discipline may neutralize that. If the Mystics can get even average shooting—especially from behind the arc—they should have enough to edge out a low-scoring win. Our prediction for Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: Mystics to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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