Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
11/1/25 12:00
Texas Longhorns

Prediction:

 

Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5 Alternate Spread

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 by Matt Lowrimore in NCAA Picks

Another one of the ranked matchups on the Week 10 college football slate will see the 9th-ranked Vanderbilt Commodores take on the 20th-ranked Texas Longhorns in the SEC. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Commodores and the Longhorns.

Vanderbilt enters this game with a record of 7-1 and 3-1 in the SEC. The Commodores most recently beat the Missouri Tigers in Week 9 by a score of 17-10. Vanderbilt’s offense had a total of 265 yards, while its defense allowed 376 yards. Quarterback Diego Pavia threw for 129 yards and one interception, while running back Makhilyn Young led the team in rushing with 86 yards and one touchdown.

As for Texas, they enter this game with a record of 6-2 and 3-1 in the SEC. The Longhorns most recently beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs by a score of 45-38 in Week 9. Texas’ offense had a total of 428 yards, while its defense allowed 445 yards. Quarterback Arch Manning threw for 346 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while running back Quintrevion Wisner led the team in rushing with 41 yards.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
5
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns
0.75 4 3 0 1
6
Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores
0.75 4 3 0 1

Vanderbilt Commodores and Texas Longhorns Latest Matches

Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
10 :  17
Vanderbilt Commodores

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
24 :  31
Vanderbilt Commodores

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
14 :  30
Alabama Crimson Tide

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
35 :  55
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Georgia State Panthers
21 :  70
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
31 :  7
South Carolina Gamecocks
L W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
10 :  17
Vanderbilt Commodores

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
24 :  31
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
35 :  55
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Georgia State Panthers
21 :  70
Vanderbilt Commodores

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Charleston Southern Buccaneers
3 :  45
Vanderbilt Commodores

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
27 :  35
Vanderbilt Commodores
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
14 :  30
Alabama Crimson Tide

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
31 :  7
South Carolina Gamecocks

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
44 :  20
Virginia Tech Hokies

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
17 :  24
LSU Tigers

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
17 :  7
Auburn Tigers

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
27 :  30
Missouri Tigers
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
45 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
16 :  13
Kentucky Wildcats

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Oklahoma Sooners
6 :  23
Texas Longhorns

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
21 :  29
Florida Gators

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Sam Houston State Bearkats
0 :  55
Texas Longhorns

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

UTEP Miners
10 :  27
Texas Longhorns
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Oklahoma Sooners
6 :  23
Texas Longhorns

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Sam Houston State Bearkats
0 :  55
Texas Longhorns

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

UTEP Miners
10 :  27
Texas Longhorns

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

San Jose State Spartans
7 :  38
Texas Longhorns

Jan 10, 2025 - NCAA

Ohio State Buckeyes
28 :  14
Texas Longhorns

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
24 :  38
Texas Longhorns
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
45 :  38
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
16 :  13
Kentucky Wildcats

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
21 :  29
Florida Gators

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
7 :  14
Ohio State Buckeyes

Jan 1, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
39 :  31
Arizona State Sun Devils

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
17 :  7
Texas A&M Aggies

Vanderbilt Commodores - Texas Longhorns Key Points

  1. Vanderbilt is 3-1 ATS vs the SEC
  2. Vanderbilt is averaging 23.3 points per game vs the SEC
  3. Texas is 1-3 ATS vs the SEC
  4. Texas is averaging 26.3 points per game vs the SEC

Our Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Prediction

Vanderbilt is becoming one of the biggest stories of this season, and the fact that they are ranked inside the top-10 is an amazing accomplishment. That being said, the Commodores will have another tough road test against the Longhorns this week, where they are small underdogs.

Texas, on the other hand, has mostly recovered from a rocky start to the season and is back inside the top-20. However, the Longhorns cannot afford another conference loss or their third overall loss, as it would essentially knock them out of the College Football Playoffs and the SEC Championship game. 

The biggest and most concerning news for Texas is the status of their quarterback, Arch Manning. As it stands, Manning is in concussion protocol, making his availability for this game up in the air. With the status of Manning uncertain, our Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns prediction is: Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5 Alternate Spread.

Prediction:

 

Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5 Alternate Spread

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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Picks