Valentin Vacherot vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks
Currently trading as a tantalizing +160 underdog, Valentin Vacherot eyes a seat in the semifinal of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters as he takes on Alex De Minaur in the quarterfinals.
Momentum: Valentin Vacherot survived an almost three-hour marathon match with Hubert Hurkacz to become the first Monégasque to reach the quarterfinals of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters. Vacherot will be playing the current world’s No.7, Alex De Minaur, who saw off a promising player in Alexander Blockx 7-5, 7-6 in straight sets.
Matchup: Vacherot and De Minaur will play each other for the first time on the ATP Tour. Vacherot owns a 63.9 percent win rate on clay. De Minaur owns a 57.9 percent win rate on the dirt.
Hot on the board: Valentin Vacherot dishes a +160 if he can come through with an upset over De Minaur, who is listed at -210 moneyline and -135 on the -2.5-game spread line.
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Valentin Vacherot vs Alex De Minaur Form
Valentin Vacherot and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 24, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Valentin Vacherot owns a 63.9 percent win rate.
- Valentin Vacherot owns a 3-4 record vs. top-10 players
- Alex De Minaur went 1-3 before the Monte Carlo Masters
- Alex De Minaur owns a 57 percent win rate on clay court
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Our Valentin Vacherot vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Valentin Vacherot stuns Alex De Minaur 6-3, 3-6, 7-6
Best Pick: Valentin Vacherot wins
I am rolling with the Monégasque, Vacherot, as he tries to make history by reaching the semifinals of his home tournament. Vacherot showed guts and exceptional ball striking in his win over the hard-hitting Hurkacz. He won 74 percent of his first serves and broke Hurcakz six times off the back of 36 return points. De Minaur is an elite returner, but if Vacherot replicates the same performance on Friday, the Aussie is doomed.
It’s also important to take into consideration that Vacherot will be playing in front of his home fans in Monaco, not to mention that De Minaur had gone 1-3 during the Sunshine Double season before posting two wins in Monte Carlo.
Our betting prediction for Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex De Minaur: Valentin Vacherot will win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.