Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz face off tonight in a Western Conference matchup between two teams trying to reverse uneven starts. Dallas enters at 15-26 and has found it difficult to build sustained momentum, with stretches of competitive play often followed by runs where the offense stalls and the margin slips away. Their recent results underline that pattern, including a 119-108 home loss to Denver in which Dallas fell behind and could not recover.
More broadly, the Mavericks have struggled to turn close games into wins consistently, and that inability to string together positive results is a major reason they remain well below .500.
Utah is in a similar spot in the standings at 14-26, and their season has also been defined by volatility. The Jazz have shown they can produce strong single-game performances, but backing those up on consecutive nights has been difficult, which is reflected in their record.
The challenge has not been limited to one setting either: Utah have dropped games both at home and on the road, and their recent form has included lopsided losses alongside more competitive efforts. This matchup, then, is less about separating two teams on overall form and more about which side can put together a cleaner four-quarter performance.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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23
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0.381 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 1 |
|
25
|
0.341 | 41 | 14 | 27 |
Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz Latest Matches
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Dallas Mavericks against Utah Jazz : Head to Head (H2H)
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Dallas Mavericks - Utah Jazz Key Points
- The Over is 1-7 in the last 8 games between the Jazz and Mavericks
- The Over is 1-11 in the Jazz’s last 12 road games when both teams are on the second leg of a back-to-back
- The Jazz are 7-0 SU vs. the Mavericks with a losing record
- The Mavericks are 0-4 in their last 4 games on the second leg of a back-to-back vs. the Jazz
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction
Dallas is led in scoring by Cooper Flagg at 19.1 points per game, and he also contributes 6.4 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 1.3 steals. Anthony Davis has been their biggest interior force, averaging 20.4 points and 11.1 rebounds, giving Dallas a second high-usage option that can stabilize half-court possessions. The Mavericks also get strong rebounding and shot-blocking support from P.J. Washington, who averages 14.7 points and 7.4 rebounds while leading the team with 1.4 blocks. If Dallas are going to control this matchup, that combination of scoring plus size has to translate into a clear advantage on the glass.
Utah's standout is Lauri Markkanen, who is averaging 27.9 points per game and remains the primary scoring driver. Keyonte George has been the main facilitator as well as a secondary scorer, putting up 23.8 points and 6.9 assists, which gives Utah a backcourt initiator who can keep the offense moving. The Jazz can also lean on Jusuf Nurkic on the glass, as he averages 10.0 rebounds, and his presence matters in a matchup that could be decided by second-chance points and who wins the physical battles.
Given how close the records are, this reads like a game that could swing on efficiency and turnovers. Utah's top-end scoring, especially through Markkanen and George, gives them a slight edge if the pace opens up, while Dallas have a clearer path if their size controls the boards and they keep the game tight late. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz: Under 236.5 points.
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