Italy vs USA Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

Italy
9/6/26 14:45
USA

Prediction:

 

Italy (+29.5) cover the spread

-115
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 by Paul Tamayo | in Women's World Cup Picks

Italy (1-0) takes on the United States of America (1-0) in a FIBA Women's World Cup game on Sunday, September 6, at Berlin Arena in Berlin, Germany.

It's one of the most anticipated matchups in the group stages, with both teams coming off wins. 

As expected, Team USA took care of their tournament opener, carving out a dominant 94-61 victory over China. The Americans' defense was on point, holding the Chinese hoopers to less than 20 points in each of the four quarters. 

On offense, it was an extremely balanced performance for Team USA. Paige Bueckers, Rhyne Howard, and Caitlin Clark all topscored with 14 points apiece. Clark had herself an impressive debut, adding 11 assists to her stat sheet to haul in a double-double. 

Moreover, USA fielded all their players against China, and everyone scored a point. This encapsulates the strong depth of their lineup, which is why they're the favorites.

As for Italy, they're coming off a 63-54 win over Czechia. The Italians actually trailed at halftime, but they clamped down on defense in the second half. They held Czechia to a measly total of 22 points in the final two quarters.

Cecilia Zandalasini led Italy with 19 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists.

Up to $350 to bet on Italy - USA! 

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Italy vs USA Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 USA
2 1 1 0 1
2 Italy
2 1 1 0 1

Italy and USA Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Czechia
54 :  63
Italy

Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
72 :  75
Italy

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
62 :  60
Italy

Aug 15, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
63 :  64
Italy

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Senegal
35 :  85
Italy
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Italy
88 :  76
China

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Italy
68 :  56
Spain

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Italy
78 :  41
Puerto Rico

Jun 27, 2025 - Eurobasket Women

Italy
64 :  66
Belgium

Jun 24, 2025 - Eurobasket Women

Italy
76 :  74
Turkiye

Jun 21, 2025 - Eurobasket Women

Italy
65 :  51
Lithuania
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Czechia
54 :  63
Italy

Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
72 :  75
Italy

Aug 16, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
62 :  60
Italy

Aug 15, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
63 :  64
Italy

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Senegal
35 :  85
Italy

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy
USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal

Jul 5, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
65 :  53
Canada

Jul 4, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
110 :  44
Dominican Republic

Jul 2, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
104 :  48
Mexico
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Jul 6, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
84 :  92
USA

Jun 30, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Puerto Rico
62 :  80
USA

Jun 28, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Chile
47 :  108
USA

Italy against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

0 %

USA

100 %

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy
Italy vs USA Picks

Players list

Italy
Italy
J. Keys

M. Villa

C. Verona

C. Zandalasini

L. Cubaj

USA
USA

J. Young

C. Gray

K. Copper

B. Stewart

N. Collier

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
O. Andre F. Pan M. Santucci M. Fassina S. Madera

V. Blasigh

F. Pasa

USA
USA

P. Bueckers

S. Citron

C. Clark

R. Howard

A. Boston

K. Iriafen

A. Reese

Italy - USA Key Points

  1. Italy is coming off a third-place finish in the 2025 FIBA EuroBasket.
  2. Italy is fresh off a 63-54 win over Czechia.
  3. Golden State Valkyries' Cecilia Zandalasini led Italy with 19 points in their last game.
  4. Italy might have a stronger defense than China, Team USA's previous opponent.
Up to $350 to bet on Italy - USA! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Italy vs USA Prediction

Team USA crushed China in their tournament opener, but they might be in for a bigger challenge on Sunday. Italy is no slouch, as they're coming off a morale-boosting victory over Czechia.

Plus, Italian star and Golden State Valkyries player Cecilia Zandalisini could be a handful to deal with. Team USA are still the favorites, but expect Italy to battle it out. Our prediction for the Italy vs USA match is: Italy (+29.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Italy (+29.5) cover the spread

-115
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.