Finland vs USA Prediction & Picks - IIHF World Championship

International - IIHF World Championship

Finland
5/18/26 10:20
USA

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

+106
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 by Taavi Pailk | in IIHF World Championship Picks

Finland looks to keep its perfect record intact at the 2026 IIHF World Championship in a matchup with the USA on Monday at the Swiss Life Arena in Zurich, Switzerland.

The Finns, who are hunting their fifth World Championship gold, have opened the tournament with wins over Germany and Hungary. The team has scored seven goals while limiting both opponents to just one goal each. Former NHL winger Jesse Puljujarvi is dominating the scoring charts with five points (three goals, two assists).

Following a hot start, Finland is expected to enjoy further success on Monday, as bookmakers have made the team an odds-on favorite for the matchup. The United States is the defending champion and has already won gold at the Olympics this year, but the roster is completely different at this tournament.

There are many young players on the U.S. team, and the World Championship is a learning experience for them. They had a disappointing start with a 3-1 loss to Switzerland but picked up a routine 5-1 victory on Sunday against a weak Great Britain team.

The Americans are expected to struggle in Monday’s contest, but they put up a good offensive performance against the Brits and certainly have some exciting scoring talent to hurt Finland.

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Finland vs USA Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2 Finland
18 7 6 1 +20
4 USA
11 262 3 3 +4

Finland and USA Latest Matches

Finland
Finland Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 16, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Hungary
1 :  4
Finland

May 15, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Finland
3 :  1
Germany

May 10, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
1 :  5
Finland

May 9, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Finland
3 :  2
Czechia

May 7, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Finland
4 :  5
Switzerland

May 3, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Finland
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 15, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Finland
3 :  1
Germany

May 9, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Finland
3 :  2
Czechia

May 7, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Finland
4 :  5
Switzerland

Apr 30, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Finland
2 :  3
Czechia

Apr 24, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Finland
10 :  5
Denmark

Apr 22, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Finland
1 :  2
Latvia
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 16, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Hungary
1 :  4
Finland

May 10, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
1 :  5
Finland

May 3, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Finland

May 2, 2026 - Rosno Cup

Switzerland
3 :  5
Finland

Feb 21, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Slovakia
1 :  6
Finland

Feb 20, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
3 :  2
Finland
USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 17, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Great Britain
1 :  5
USA

May 15, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

USA
1 :  3
Switzerland

May 10, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Germany
2 :  5
USA

Feb 22, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
1 :  2
USA

Feb 20, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  2
Slovakia

Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
2 :  1
Sweden
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 15, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

USA
1 :  3
Switzerland

Feb 20, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  2
Slovakia

Feb 18, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
2 :  1
Sweden

Feb 15, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
5 :  1
Germany

Feb 14, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  3
Denmark

May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

USA
5 :  2
Finland
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

May 17, 2026 - IIHF World Championship

Great Britain
1 :  5
USA

May 10, 2026 - International Friendly Games

Germany
2 :  5
USA

Feb 22, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
1 :  2
USA

Feb 12, 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Latvia
1 :  5
USA

May 24, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
2 :  6
USA

May 20, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Czechia
2 :  5
USA

Finland against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

Finland

0 %

USA

100 %

May 22, 2025 - IIHF World Championship

USA
5 :  2
Finland
Finland vs USA Picks

Players list

Finland
Finland

J. Korpisalo

J. Annunen

V. Heinola

N. Matinpalo

O. Maatta

V. Saarijarvi

U. Vaakanainen

H. Jokiharju

M. Lehtonen

A. Raty

E. Erholtz

W. Merela

P. Puistola

A. Lundell

L. Hameenaho

H. Bjorninen

J. Puljujarvi

S. Maenalanen

S. Manninen

A. Barkov

J. Kuokkanen

USA
USA

D. Cooley

J. Woll

M. Lohrei

W. Kaiser

R. Ufko

C. Clifton

J. Faulk

W. Borgen

R. Lindgren

M. Plante

M. Coronato

J. Hagens

M. Sasson

O. Moore

R. Leonard

D. Nelson

I. Howard

P. Cotter

A. Steeves

T. Novak

S. Lafferty

M. Olivier

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Finland
CD Huachipato USA
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Puljujarvi (4 Goals)
Finland A. Lundell (4 Goals)
Finland A. Raty (4 Goals)
Finland P. Puistola (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA R. Leonard (4 Goals) USA M. Tkachuk (4 Goals)
Best assists
Finland A. Barkov (8 Assists)
Best assists
USA T. Novak (7 Assists)

Finland - USA Key Points

  1. Three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these teams have finished with at least seven goals.
  2. In the 2025 IIHF World Championship, the USA beat Finland 5-2 in the quarterfinals.
  3. There have been over 5.5 goals in seven of the last nine World Championship games involving Team USA.
  4. On average, this matchup has produced 6.0 goals per game over the last four World Championship clashes.
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Our Finland vs USA Prediction

The U.S. lacks experience, and the defense could struggle to contain NHL veterans like Puljujarvi. But their offense shook off some rust on Sunday, increasing the team’s confidence.

Recent meetings between the USA and Finland have been high-scoring affairs, and this matchup could be just as entertaining. The Finns will be determined to keep their perfect record, while the young Americans are eager to test themselves against elite competition.

Our prediction for Finland vs. USA: Over 5.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

+106
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.