Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Prediction & Picks - UFC #321

UFC - UFC #321

Umar Nurmagomedov
10/24/25 19:00
Mario Bautista

Prediction:

 

A decision win for Nurmagomedov.

-165
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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) vs Mario Bautista (16-2-0) is a UFC Bantamweight matchup on Saturday night at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. Umar Nurmagomedov is a 29-year-old Russian bruiser who joined the franchise in January 2021. He has since participated in seven assignments, winning six of them. His six-fight winning streak ended in January this year after a title loss to Merab Dvalishvili. Nurmagomedov will be eager to bounce back from the loss this weekend.

Mario Bautista is another in-form fighter who will be eager to show what he can do against the best names in the division. The 32-year-old Brazilian mixed martial artist joined the UFC in January 2019, losing his debut fight against Cody Sandhagen. However, he recovered from this loss to win 10 of his last 11 fights, including the previous eight. Winning this weekend could improve Bautista’s odds of getting a title shot.

Umar Nurmagomedov - Mario Bautista Key Points

  1. Umar Nurmagomedov is 6-1 in his last seven UFC fights.
  2. Umar Nurmagomedov’s four of the last five fights ended via decision.
  3. The fight went the distance in the last four Bautista bouts.
  4. The fight was decided via decision in the last four Bautista bouts.

Our Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Prediction

Umar Nurmagomedov is the -500 betting favorite. The Russian won’t take any chances this weekend, as he aims to return to winning ways quickly. Despite losing in his first shot at the bantamweight title, Nurmagomedov was highly impressive, winning the first two rounds. He could get a title rematch with a win against Bautista, who is also hungry for a title shot of his own. Umar’s brother (Usman) also recently won the PFL lightweight title, which should hype him up on Saturday night. We don’t see him losing to the in-form Bautista.

Our prediction for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista: A decision win for Nurmagomedov.

Prediction:

 

A decision win for Nurmagomedov.

-165
$300+ offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Picks