Ukraine vs Sweden Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Ukraine
3/26/26 15:45
Sweden

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in World Cup Picks

The World Cup playoff semi finals take place on Thursday evening, with one of the tightest looking fixtures seeing Ukraine take on Sweden at the Estadi Ciutat de València.

Ukraine find themselves in the playoffs after finishing a distant second to France in their qualification group. Whilst Serhiy Rebrov's side have enjoyed victories over the likes of Iceland, New Zealand and Azerbaijan over the last year, they have fallen short against stronger opposition, which makes them hard to trust against a side with as much talent as the Swedes.

That being said, Sweden endured a torrid qualifying campaign, which saw them pick up just two points from their six fixtures. With star players such as Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski out with long term injuries, Sweden will be relying on Arsenal star Viktor Gyökeres to provide the firepower required to get the job done on Thursday night. 

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Ukraine vs Sweden Form

Ukraine and Sweden Latest Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine Latest matches
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Ukraine

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
3 :  1
Belgium

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  1
Czechia

Oct 11, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  0
Georgia
L L W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Ukraine

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  2
Ukraine

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
4 :  2
Ukraine

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Ukraine
Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
D L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
2 :  0
Sweden

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden
W W W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
4 :  3
Algeria

Mar 25, 2025 - International Friendlies

Sweden
5 :  1
Northern Ireland

Nov 19, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
6 :  0
Azerbaijan
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
2 :  0
Sweden

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden

Jun 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  2
Sweden

Mar 22, 2025 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
1 :  0
Sweden

Oct 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  3
Sweden

Ukraine against Sweden : Head to Head (H2H)

Ukraine

100 %

Draw

0 %

Sweden

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2021 - Euro

Sweden
1 :  2
Ukraine
Ukraine vs Sweden Picks

Ukraine against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11

Ukraine

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

12
A. Trubin
22
O. Tymchyk
13
I. Zabarnyi
5
V. Bondar
16
V. Mykolenko
21
I. Kalyuzhnyi
15
V. Tsygankov
18
Y. Yarmoliuk
17
G. Sudakov
20
O. Zubkov
19
V. Vanat
17
V. Gyokeres
11
A. Elanga
10
B. Nygren
16
J. Karlstrom
18
Y. Ayari
6
H. Johansson
5
G. Gudmundsson
3
V. Lindelof
4
I. Hien
2
G. Lagerbielke
23
K. Nordfeldt

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Sweden

Substitutes

Ukraine
Ukraine
Goalkeeper

D. Riznyk

R. Neshcheret

Defender

B. Mykhaylichenko

O. Svatok

Midfielder

E. Sarapii

O. Ocheretko

M. Shaparenko

O. Pikhalyonok

O. Gutsulyak

Forward

M. Ponomarenko

N. Voloshyn

R. Yaremchuk

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

M. Ellborg

N. Tornqvist

Defender

D. Svensson

C. Starfelt

E. Smith

Midfielder

L. Bergvall

R. Bardghji

H. Larsson

B. Zeneli

M. Svanberg

Forward

T. Ali

G. Nilsson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ukraine
CD Huachipato Sweden
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine M. Ponomarenko (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (16 Goals)
Best assists
Ukraine O. Gutsulyak (2 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden B. Nygren (8 Assists)

Ukraine - Sweden Key Points

  1. All 6 previous games between Sweden and Ukraine have been decided by 1 goal or less
  2. 3 of the last 5 Sweden-Ukraine games have ended in draws after 90 minutes
  3. Sweden have gone 6 games without a win
  4. There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ukraine's last 5 matches
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Our Ukraine vs Sweden Prediction

With a place at the World Cup on the line, this is sure to be a tense encounter between two very evenly matched teams.

Whilst Sweden undoubtedly have the edge in terms of overall quality, their recent performances have been extremely poor. 

On the other hand, Ukraine look slightly short of top level quality, but are sure to play with passion as they attempt to reach the World Cup for the first time in 20 years. 

Overall, we'd probably give the edge to Sweden, but we think this contest looks likely to go to extra time and maybe even penalties. 

Our prediction for Ukraine vs Sweden is: Draw and under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.