Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Miami Picks
Brimming with confidence following a top-10 win, Francisco Cerundolo looks primed to carve out an emphatic win over Ugo Humbert in the fourth round of the 2026 Miami Open.
Current Form:
Francisco Cerundolo delivered his biggest win this season on Monday after topping Indian Wells runner-up Daniil Medvedev 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 in the third round. Argentina is 13-5 and 6-3 in outdoor hard-court matches this year. He’s currently a -107 underdog to his next opponent, Ugo Humbert, who has also been on a roll in Miami.
A holder of an 11-8 record this season, Humbert entered the round-of-16 still scatheless after sweeping Gabriel Diallo 6-1, 6-4 and Alexander Shevchenko 6-4, 7-6. Unlike most Frenchmen, who are either all-court players or clay-court experts, Humbert thrives on hard courts, where he boasts a 63 percent win rate.
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Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolo Form
Ugo Humbert and Francisco Cerundolo Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 28, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Ugo Humbert against Francisco Cerundolo : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jul 29, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Ugo Humbert - Francisco Cerundolo Key Points
- Francisco Cerundolo is 1-1 vs. Ugo Humbert.
- Francisco Cerundolo defeated Daniil Medvedev for his first top-10 scalp of the year.
- Ugo Humbert owns a 63 percent win rate in hard-court matches.
- Ugo Humbert is winning 90.8 percent of his first balls at the 2026 Miami Open.
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Our Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction
Ugo Humbert is a tempting option here, considering how well he has been serving in Miami, but I am still taking Cerundolo to win this match.
The Argentine should be brimming with confidence right now following the massive win over an in-form Medvedev. Cerundolo is always a dangerous player, especially if his return game is on. And at Miami, Cerundolo has converted 9 of 17 breakpoint chances, including six against Medvedev. Humbert is winning 90 percent of his first serves in this tournament.
However, seeing how Cerundolo solved his first two opponents with effective counterpunching, it is looking like Humbert will have to be more creative to tame the roaring Argentine this time around.
Secondary Pick: Francisco Cerundolo wins this one in straight sets. I feel Cerundolo has rediscovered the flow and momentum that made him a legit threat on the hard court last year. Make no mistake, Humbert is a tough opponent, but Cerundolo still has a lot to offer in this tourney.
Our betting prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs. Ugo Humbert: Francisco Cerundolo will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
