Uganda vs Nigeria Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Uganda
12/30/25 11:00
Nigeria

Prediction:

 

Nigeria and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-140
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 by Tyler Doty in AFCON Picks

Nigeria goes into this match as the favorite. Uganda has no intention of going down without a fight on the final day of Group C, as qualification is still possible at the Fez Sports Complex on Tuesday evening.

Indeed, a defeat for Tunisia and a big win for Uganda could see them through to the round of 16. As you can see, the Super Eagles cannot go into this match without excellent preparation. For example, the defensive lapses seen against Tunisia cannot be repeated during regulation time, otherwise there could be an unpleasant surprise.

Will logic prevail before the serious business of the Africa Cup of Nations in Morocco begins? The answer will be revealed in a culturally exceptional city. One thing is certain: you have to take into account the history between the two teams if you don't want to be surprised by a surprise from Uganda...

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Uganda vs Nigeria Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Nigeria
Nigeria
6 2 2 0 0 2
4
Uganda
Uganda
1 2 0 1 1 -2

Uganda and Nigeria Latest Matches

Uganda
Uganda Latest matches
W W L L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  1
Uganda

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
4 :  0
Uganda

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
2 :  1
Uganda

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
0 :  1
Uganda

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
2 :  0
Somalia
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
2 :  0
Somalia

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
4 :  0
Mozambique

Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
0 :  1
Senegal

Aug 11, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
2 :  0
Niger

Aug 4, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
0 :  3
Algeria
W D W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Tunisia
3 :  1
Uganda

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
4 :  0
Uganda

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
2 :  1
Uganda

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
0 :  1
Uganda

Aug 18, 2025 - African Nations Championship

South Africa
3 :  3
Uganda

Aug 8, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Guinea
0 :  3
Uganda
Nigeria
Nigeria Latest matches
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  1
Gabon

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  1
Gabon

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin

Sep 6, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  0
Rwanda
D L L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Lesotho
1 :  2
Nigeria

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

South Africa
1 :  1
Nigeria

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria

Aug 5, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria

Jun 6, 2025 - International Friendlies

Russia
1 :  1
Nigeria

Uganda - Nigeria: Form Analysis

Nigeria had a scare, but Nigeria achieved its goal: finishing first in its group. With a victory against Tanzania and Tunisia by a single goal, we still expected better from the Super Eagles. But that's not the main thing. Qualification was the goal for the former finalist! Mission accomplished, but now they need to be more vigilant defensively, as their work in this area has not been exceptional...

Uganda is a team to be wary of.

Although the Cranes have yet to win in this AFCON, they came close to their first victory of the competition against Tanzania. Unfortunately, Paul Put's men missed a penalty just minutes before the end of the match. One point out of six is not a good result, especially since the Ugandans collapsed when they needed to stand up to a superior team on paper, Tunisia. Our experts fear another defeat at the end of 90 minutes.

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Uganda against Nigeria Lineups: Starting 11

Uganda

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

18
D. Onyango
4
K. Semakula
5
T. Sibbick
15
J. Obita
23
A. Abdu Kayondo
6
B. Byaruhanga
10
T. Mutyaba
12
B. Alhassan
14
D. Omedi
9
U. Ikpeazu
7
R. Mato
11
S. Chukwueze
10
F. Dele-Bashiru
21
C. Bassey
5
O. Igoh
27
R. Alebiosu
1
F. Uzoho
19
P. Onuachu
9
V. Osimhen
15
M. Simon
13
O. Bruno
18
R. Onyedika

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Nigeria

Uganda & Nigeria Squad Analysis

He may not be in great form with Bergamo, but Lookman has been outstanding for Nigeria! The 2023 Europa League hero has scored two goals and provided two assists. With strong support from the duo of Osimhen (1 goal and 1 assist) and Iwobi (2 assists), it's fair to say that the Super Eagles have been able to rely on their key players since the start of the competition.

On the Ugandan side, Denis Omedi has been keeping the team relevant!

Denis Omedi scored the only goal against Tunisia, before providing an assist for Ikpeazu with 10 minutes to go. Uche Ikpeazu showed his coach that he could be counted on after spending the match against the Eagles of Carthage on the bench. Allan Okello will

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Uganda
CD Huachipato Nigeria
Top Goalscorer
Uganda U. Ikpeazu (1 Goals)
Uganda D. Omedi (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria A. Lookman (2 Goals)
Best assists
Uganda D. Omedi (1 Assists)
Best assists
Nigeria A. Lookman (2 Assists)
Nigeria A. Iwobi (2 Assists)

Uganda and Nigeria Stats in AFCON

Uganda
Uganda
Nigeria
Nigeria
0%
Victories
100%
50%
Draw
0%
50%
Defeats
0%
3
Total goals per match
4
1
Goals scored per match
2.5
2
Goals conceded per match
1.5
50%
Over 2.5
100%
50%
Under 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%

Uganda - Nigeria Key Points

  1. Nigeria has the best attack in the group with 5 goals scored.
  2. Nigeria has won its last two games.
  3. Nigeria has conceded at least one goal in its last five games.
  4. Uganda has not won any of its last three games.
  5. Uganda has not lost to Nigeria since 1978.
  6. Uganda has scored only two goals since the start of the competition.
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Our Uganda vs Nigeria Prediction

Nigeria enters this match eager to secure its third win on Moroccan soil. The goal is to finish top of the group, and to avoid any uncertainty, at least one point is needed at the end of 90 minutes. The Super Eagles have an important task ahead of them: to break a streak of three games without a win against Uganda. Yes, it's a surprising statistic, but the Ugandans are undefeated against the last finalist in the competition. With a strong attack and the status of favorites, Nigeria cannot afford to miss this opportunity at the end of 90 minutes.

Our prediction for Nigeria vs. Uganda: Nigeria or a draw and over 1.5 goals!

Prediction:

 

Nigeria and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-140
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Uganda vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Picks

Osimhen Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +110
A scorer and assist provider in the last game, he hopes to climb the scoring charts by finding the back of the net again.
$250 offered for betting!

Both teams to score: Yes

Odds +104
Nigeria is impressive offensively but not really on the other side of the field. Uganda could take advantage of this.
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Uganda vs Nigeria Picks