Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction & Picks - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Erik Gibbs in AFCON Picks
Tunisia and Uganda open their AFCON 2025 campaigns against each other with both sides bringing different forms and expectations into the match. Tunisia arrive after a strong run of results that includes steady World Cup qualification performances and a confidence-boosting draw against Brazil in a recent friendly.
While their AFCON qualifying campaign included a few unexpected setbacks, they still finished comfortably enough to secure their place at the tournament. Tunisia's history at AFCON is extensive, with multiple deep runs and a championship on home soil in the past, reinforcing their reputation as a consistent tournament side.
Uganda return to the AFCON stage after missing the last two editions, having qualified with authority. They secured qualification with games to spare and impressed with their consistency, particularly in away matches. Uganda's recent competitive record shows a team that has grown in confidence and structure, even if they lack exposure to elite opposition. Historically, this fixture strongly favors Tunisia, who have won every previous meeting between the two nations, including decisive victories in past tournaments.
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Tunisia vs Uganda Form
Tunisia and Uganda Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 4, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 1, 2025 - Arab Cup
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 1, 2025 - Arab Cup
Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup
Jun 2, 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 4, 2025 - Arab Cup
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies
Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup
Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup
Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Aug 11, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Aug 4, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup
Aug 18, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Aug 8, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Jun 6, 2025 - International Friendlies
Tunisia - Uganda: Form Analysis
Tunisia's current form reflects a team that values structure, control, and tactical discipline. They are rarely expansive but are difficult to break down and comfortable managing matches through midfield dominance. Their recent performances have shown an ability to absorb pressure and strike efficiently, particularly in games against stronger opponents. However, they can struggle to break down deep defensive blocks, which has occasionally led to narrow or frustrating results.
Uganda's form is built on resilience and collective effort. Under Paul Put, they have developed into a well-organized unit capable of executing a clear game plan. Uganda typically prioritize defensive solidity, using compact formations that limit space and force opponents wide. While this approach has delivered results, it has also limited their attacking output, with goals often coming from set pieces or isolated counterattacks rather than sustained pressure.
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Tunisia & Uganda Squad Analysis
Tunisia's squad benefits from the return of key midfield figures, including Ellyes Skhiri and Hannibal Mejbri, both of whom add energy, balance, and creativity. Veteran players such as Ferjani Sassi provide leadership, while younger talents offer pace and versatility in wide areas. Defensively, Tunisia rely on an experienced back line complemented by the return of Ali Maâloul, whose leadership and delivery from set pieces remain valuable. The attacking unit lacks a standout star but includes several reliable contributors capable of sharing goals.
Uganda's squad is highlighted by the return of veteran goalkeeper Denis Onyango, whose experience and authority significantly strengthen the team's defensive structure. The back line has been reinforced by players with European experience, while midfield responsibilities fall to seasoned campaigners who prioritize discipline and ball recovery. In attack, Uganda rely on physical forwards and creative midfielders such as Allan Okello to generate chances. Younger players have been included to add energy, though the squad lacks a proven prolific scorer. Uganda arrive largely injury-free, allowing the coaching staff continuity in selection.
Tunisia - Uganda Key Points
- The Over is 3-2 in Tunisia's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Uganda's last 5 games
- Tunisia are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- Uganda are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction
Tunisia's strengths include midfield control, tactical discipline, and tournament experience. They are adept at managing games, exploiting set pieces, and capitalizing on opponents' mistakes. Uganda's strengths lie in organization, physicality, and resilience, particularly when defending deep and protecting narrow scorelines. Their weaknesses center on limited creativity and difficulty sustaining attacking pressure against structured defenses.
When comparing both teams, Tunisia hold a clear advantage due to their experience, balance, and ability to control matches over long periods. Uganda are capable of making the contest competitive through discipline and effort, but Tunisia's quality and composure give them the upper hand. Our prediction for Tunisia vs Uganda: Over 2.5 goals.
Tunisia vs Uganda - Other Interesting Picks
Ali Maâloul over 0.5 assists
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