Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Washington Capitals
11/28/25 17:00
Toronto Maple Leafs

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy | in NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) will look to move above .500 when they take on the Washington Capitals (13-9-2) on the road late Friday.

Toronto is coming off a 2-1 win over the Blue Jackets that helped them avoid another losing streak. Before the win, the Leafs had lost 7 of their previous 8 games. What had been a great start to the season has turned into many questioning if that start was just a fluke. While the Leafs are near the top in goals scored on the season (8th in NHL), they are near the bottom in goals allowed on the season (28th in NHL).

For Washington, the latter part of November has been good. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and done so by scoring a total of 29 goals during that 6-game stretch. A win here at home over Toronto would put them on another 3-game win streak. While Toronto has struggled in stopping opposing offenses, the Capitals have not, and rank 8th in the league in goals allowed on the season.

Will Toronto be able to pick things up defensively against the Capitals? Or will they continue their lackluster defensive efforts and find themselves needing to play catch-up once again?

Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
12 Washington Capitals
95 1612 37 30 +19
28 Toronto Maple Leafs
78 2377 23 36 -46

Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  3
Winnipeg Jets

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
5 :  1
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  8
Washington Capitals

Nov 19, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
7 :  4
Edmonton Oilers

Nov 17, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  1
Los Angeles Kings
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  3
Winnipeg Jets

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
5 :  1
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 19, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
7 :  4
Edmonton Oilers

Nov 17, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  1
Los Angeles Kings

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  3
New Jersey Devils
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  8
Washington Capitals

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  3
Washington Capitals

Nov 11, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
1 :  4
Washington Capitals

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Washington Capitals

Nov 6, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
5 :  3
Washington Capitals

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
4 :  3
Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 18, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  2
St. Louis Blues

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  4
Los Angeles Kings
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 18, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  2
St. Louis Blues

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  4
Los Angeles Kings

Nov 9, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  5
Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Boston Bruins

Nov 5, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  3
Utah Mammoth
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 11, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
2 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 29, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
6 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Washington Capitals against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Capitals

33 %

Toronto Maple Leafs

67 %

Dec 28, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Washington Capitals

Dec 6, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  3
Washington Capitals

Nov 13, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 28, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  1
Washington Capitals

Mar 20, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  7
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 24, 2023 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks

Players list

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals

L. Thompson

C. Lindgren

R. Sandin

M. Roy

M. Fehervary

J. Chychrun

J. Carlson

T. Van Riemsdyk

A. Ovechkin

B. Duhaime

C. McMichael

R. Leonard

J. Sourdif

H. Lapierre

A. Protas

T. Wilson

S. Milano

A. Beauvillier

D. Strome

E. Frank

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs

D. Hildeby

J. Woll

S. Benoit

J. McCabe

M. Rielly

O. Ekman-Larsson

T. Stecher

D. Mermis

N. Robertson

D. Joshua

M. Maccelli

E. Cowan

B. McMann

M. Knies

S. Laughton

C. Jarnkrok

J. Tavares

N. Roy

S. Lorentz

A. Matthews

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Washington Capitals
CD Huachipato Toronto Maple Leafs
Top Goalscorer
A. Ovechkin (32 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. Tavares (31 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Sweden W. Nylander (49 Assists)

Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto’s last 18 games.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games on the road.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Our Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

We highly doubt the Leafs will suddenly be able to keep an offense under wraps and will likely need to make this game a high-scoring affair in order to have a chance on the road. The oddsmakers have this money line close, which indicates to us that it will be a close game. And like we said, if it is going to stay close, it is likely because both teams are scoring often. Give us the over here in Washington.

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Over 6.5

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5

-110
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.