Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL
USA - NHL
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by Taavi Pailk | in NHL Picks
It’s top versus bottom in the Atlantic Division this weekend as the Detroit Red Wings host the Toronto Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday.
Things have gone from bad to worse throughout the season for the Maple Leafs, who have struggled to cope with the absence of Mitch Marner. Without him, the team hasn’t had the same oomph offensively, and there have been some horrid defensive performances.
Before Toronto beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3 ahead of the Christmas break, Craig Berube’s side had lost three games in a row, giving up 14 goals in the process. For the season, the Maple Leafs are allowing 3.33 goals per game, and they won’t be anywhere near the playoff race come spring if things don’t improve at the back.
Detroit has also faced some defensive issues, entering the weekend with a 3.16 goals-against average. Yet, the team has 10 more points on the table than Toronto and has recently impressed with wins over top-class Washington and Dallas teams.
The Red Wings went 5-1-0 ahead of the holidays, despite missing Patrick Kane from the lineup for five of the games. The former MVP elevates Detroit’s ceiling, but Todd McLellan’s team has proven that they can also be competitive without Kane.
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Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
92 | 2887 | 30 | 31 | -17 |
|
28
|
78 | 2377 | 23 | 36 | -46 |
Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 23, 2025 - NHL
Dec 21, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
Dec 17, 2025 - NHL
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Dec 23, 2025 - NHL
Dec 21, 2025 - NHL
Dec 17, 2025 - NHL
Dec 16, 2025 - NHL
Dec 2, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
Dec 13, 2025 - NHL
Dec 11, 2025 - NHL
Dec 10, 2025 - NHL
Dec 8, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 23, 2025 - NHL
Dec 21, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
Dec 18, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 23, 2025 - NHL
Dec 16, 2025 - NHL
Dec 13, 2025 - NHL
Dec 11, 2025 - NHL
Dec 8, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Dec 21, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
Dec 18, 2025 - NHL
Dec 4, 2025 - NHL
Dec 2, 2025 - NHL
Detroit Red Wings against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Oct 13, 2025 - NHL
Oct 11, 2025 - NHL
Apr 17, 2025 - NHL
Dec 27, 2024 - NHL
Dec 14, 2024 - NHL
Players list
J. Gibson
C. Talbot
A. Johansson
M. Seider
J. Bernard-Docker
A. Sandin-Pellikka
S. Edvinsson
B. Chiarot
P. Kane
L. Raymond
J. Leonard
M. Appleton
M. Rasmussen
N. Danielson
M. Kasper
J. Compher
A. DeBrincat
D. Larkin
A. Copp
E. Finnie
D. Hildeby
J. Woll
P. Myers
J. McCabe
M. Rielly
C. Tanev
O. Ekman-Larsson
T. Stecher
D. Joshua
N. Robertson
M. Maccelli
E. Cowan
B. McMann
M. Knies
M. Domi
S. Laughton
J. Tavares
N. Roy
S. Lorentz
A. Matthews
Most goals and assists
Detroit Red Wings
Toronto Maple Leafs
A. DeBrincat
(41 Goals)
J. Tavares
(31 Goals)
L. Raymond
(51 Assists)
W. Nylander
(49 Assists)
Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points
- The teams meet for the third time this season, with Detroit having beaten Toronto in both previous clashes, scoring nine goals and allowing five.
- The Red Wings are tied for the most home wins in the Eastern Conference, going 12-7-1 at Little Caesars Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have won a league-low five road games this season, posting a 5-10-0 record on away ice.
- Detroit hasn’t beaten Toronto three times in a single season since 2015-16.
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Our Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Red Wings are having a great season, but they seem to be overperforming. The team has a poor defensive record, and the offense can’t continue to keep bailing them out.
Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs seem to be underperforming. The roster is too good for a team sitting last in its division. Several players have struggled to find form, and the likes of Auston Matthews are likely to hit top gear at one point. At the moment, the three-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner has just 23 points (14 goals and nine assists) through 31 games, which is well below the standard expected from a player of his caliber.
Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings: Maple Leafs to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
