Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Washington Nationals
7/27/26 18:45
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

Nationals -1.5

+147
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals (54-52, 22-32 Home) will try to keep the good vibes going at home today as they kick off a three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays (48-58, 22-28 Away). First Pitch for Game 1 at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.

Washington returned home on Friday for a weekend series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. After losing Game 1 on Friday, 3-2, they bounced back with wins on Saturday (5-3) and yesterday (10-7).

Andrew Alvarez is scheduled to get the start for the Nationals. He has a 2-3 record in 14 appearances with seven starts, an ERA of 4.22 and a 1.50 WHIP. Home has not been too kind to him as he is 1-2 in eight appearances (three starts) with a 4.99 ERA and a .265 OBA.

Max Scherzer is expected to come off the IL to start for the Blue Jays. Scherzer has struggled this season in his limited opportunities. He is 1-4 in six starts with a 10.23 ERA, a 1.73 WHIP, and a .303 OBA. In his six starts, he has allowed at least one earned run in each and 5+ in three (including his last two).


 

Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
11 Washington Nationals
0.509 106 54 52
24 Toronto Blue Jays
0.453 106 48 58

Washington Nationals and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  7
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  8
Washington Nationals

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  7
Washington Nationals

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  7
Washington Nationals
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  7
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 10, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  5
New York Yankees
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  8
Washington Nationals

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
8 :  7
Washington Nationals

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  7
Washington Nationals

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  5
Washington Nationals

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
15 :  1
Washington Nationals

Jul 17, 2026 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  23
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 23, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 23, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 22, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 21, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 20, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 19, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Jul 18, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  0
Chicago White Sox
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 12, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 11, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 10, 2026 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Washington Nationals against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Nationals

17 %

Toronto Blue Jays

83 %

Apr 2, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  2
Washington Nationals

Apr 1, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  3
Washington Nationals

Mar 31, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 4, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 28, 2023 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  3
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks

Washington Nationals - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. Toronto leads the all-time series vs. Washington, 47-37.
  2. Washington is 27-27 ATS (run line) at home; Toronto is 23-27 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 32-19-3 at home for the Nationals and 24-24-2 for Toronto on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 41% of run line tickets and 60% of the handle are on the Nationals.

Our Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I am not super confident in Alvarez, and it doesn’t help that he seldom goes longer than four innings. It would be nice if the Nationals bullpen was better (5.03 ERA). But Toronto’s lineup may not be able to take advantage, though (.250 BA over the last week; 19 runs scored in seven games). Washington, on the other hand, has had the hottest lineup in baseball (.315 BA, 39 runs scored across seven games). With how Max Scherzer has been pitching and how the Nats have been hitting, this one could get ugly early.

Our Toronto vs. Washington Pick: Nationals -1.5

Prediction:

 

Nationals -1.5

+147
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.