New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
After two close games, Game 3 of the Yankees- Blue Jays series is shaping up to be another thrilling low-scoring affair with both teams unleashing their sub -2.00 pitchers.
The New York Yankees returned to their winning ways after taking Games 1 (7-6) and 2 (5-4) in their AL East series with the Toronto Blue Jays.
Caesars Sportsbook installed the Yankees as the favorite to take Game 3 and sweep the Jays, pricing them at -178 moneyline and +122 to cover -1.5 runs.
The Bronx Bombers, who hold a 3-7 record against the spread in their last 10 games, have averaged 5.3 runs and 8.4 hits per game on a .254 BA over their last five assignments. Their pitching remains shaky as they have posted 4.67 ERA throughout this five-game stretch.
The Blue Jays plummeted to third in the AL East with a 21-27 record following back-to-back losses to the Yankees. Toronto has also gone 5-10 in its last 15 games and 2-7 in its last 9 road games.
Although the Blue Jays slightly improved their ERA from 4.06 in the season to 3.50 over the last five games, their average runs per game dipped from 4.2 this season to 3.5 during this five-game spell.
Toronto will jog onto the field as the road dog, currently pegged at +150 price on the moneyline and a -145 to cover +1.5 runs at Caesars Sportsbook. The sportsbook has readjusted the total for the third straight game, lowering it to 8.0 runs from 8.5 runs in Game 2 and 9.0 runs in Game 1.
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.585 | 82 | 48 | 34 |
|
21
|
0.47 | 83 | 39 | 44 |
New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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New York Yankees against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
May 19, 2026 - MLB
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New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- Jays' RHP Trey Yesavage sports a 1.40 ERA this season
- Yankees RHP Cam Schlitter sports a 1.35 ERA this season.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games played on a Wednesday when on the road.
- Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games.
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Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Yankees nip the Blue Jays again in a low-scoring thriller, 3-2.
Best Pick: Back the Under 8.0 runs. Wednesday’s series finale will feature two outstanding starting pitchers in Trey Yesavage (1-1, 1.40 ERA) and Cam Schlitter (6-1, 1.35 ERA).
Aside from their sub-2.00 ERA, both pitchers performed well in their last starts against each other's teams. Schlitter allowed two earned runs over 6.1 innings in a 2-5 loss to Toronto on October 8, 2025. Yesavage blanked the Yankees and recorded 11 strikeouts in his first start against the Bronx Bombers on October 5, 2025.
Both boasting heavy hitters in their respective batting rows, the Jays and the Yankees can light up the scoreboard on any given day. Still, Yesavage and Schlitter should dictate the tone by putting the clamps on the offense through the first six innings.
Our betting prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the New York Yankees: Under 8.0 Runs
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