New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
9/5/25 19:05
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

The Yankees -1.5 Runs

+152
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays have beaten the New York Yankees in six of their last seven meetings.

Will the Yankees finally get the better of the Blue Jays in this crucial series beginning Friday at Yankee Stadium?

Current Form:

The Yankees, who are 9-2 in their last 11 games, are the favorites at -134. New York compiled a 16-12 record in August and has won 2 of their first 3 games in September to bump their record up to 78-62, three games behind the 81-59 Blue Jays in the AL East standings. The Yankees have averaged 5.7 runs per game on a .240 batting average while commanding an elite 3.40 ERA in their last five games.

The Blue Jays took the last two games in their series with the Cincinnati Reds this week to stay in front of the Yankees in the AL East title race. After scoring 25 runs in the last two games, Toronto improves to 7.8 runs per game while batting .326 across their last five games. Toronto’s pitching form has been a little disappointing, though. Over the same five-game stretch, the Blue Jays have posted a 5.28 ERA and 1.49 WHIP - significantly higher than their season numbers of 4.29 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 New York Yankees
0.58 162 94 68
4 Toronto Blue Jays
0.58 162 94 68

New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
8 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  7
New York Yankees

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  2
New York Yankees

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  10
New York Yankees
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
11 :  2
Washington Nationals

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  1
Washington Nationals

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
10 :  5
Washington Nationals

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  12
Boston Red Sox

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
0 :  1
Boston Red Sox
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
8 :  7
New York Yankees

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  7
New York Yankees

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  2
New York Yankees

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  10
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  13
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  12
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  7
Minnesota Twins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
10 :  4
Minnesota Twins
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  13
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  12
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

17 %

Toronto Blue Jays

83 %

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  1
New York Yankees

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
11 :  9
New York Yankees

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
12 :  5
New York Yankees

New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto.
  2. NY Yankees is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
  3. Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against NY Yankees.
  4. Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I am taking the Yankees to cover the -1.5 run spread at home. New York is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games and 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Moreover, the Yankees are 4-1 in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Yankees RHP Cam Schlitter is boasting a 1.26 ERA over his last five starts and has only allowed one run over his last 18.2 innings across three starts. On the contrary, Blue Jays RHP Kevin Gausman failed to lead Toronto to a win in his last four mound appearances, though he still carries a formidable 2.81 ERA over his last five starts.

This three-game showpiece could dictate the outcome of this year’s AL East title race. Toronto, New York, and Boston are locked in a frantic three-way race that could become messier at the conclusion of this series. The Yankees, who played in the World Series a year ago, are always dangerous at this time of the year because of their championship pedigree and the firepower that can tilt the balance of power anytime..

Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: the Yankees -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Yankees -1.5 Runs

+152
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks