New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
8/4/24 13:35
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

Yankees Team Total Over 5.5 Runs

 

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 by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays (51-60 SU, 52-59 ATS) conclude their series with the New York Yankees (66-46 SU, 60-52 ATS) after splitting the first two games in the Bronx. The Aug. 2 loss snapped a five-game Yankee win streak, as New York has surged back into a first-place tie with Baltimore in the AL East. The Yankees have run hot and cold since the All-Star break, as they immediately came off the break by losing six of eight before getting back on track.

They now hope Gerrit Cole can get back on track after a poor showing against the Mets in his last start. Cole gutted through to the sixth inning, but he allowed six runs in a 12-3 loss. His 5.40 ERA is higher than at any point in his career, although it is a small sample size. It’s also possible that Cole just can’t pitch against the Mets, as his ERA is 11.10 against the team from Queens and 3.19 against anyone else.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
3 New York Yankees
0.58 162 94 68
24 Toronto Blue Jays
0.457 162 74 88

New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 30, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  7
New York Yankees

Jul 29, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  14
New York Yankees

Jul 28, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  8
New York Yankees
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 24, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  12
New York Mets

Jul 23, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Yankees

Jul 30, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  7
New York Yankees

Jul 29, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  14
New York Yankees

Jul 28, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  8
New York Yankees

Jul 27, 2024 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  11
New York Yankees

Jul 14, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  5
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
10 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 26, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  5
Texas Rangers

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  4
Detroit Tigers
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  5
Texas Rangers

Jul 21, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  4
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Jul 19, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Jul 4, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Houston Astros

Jul 3, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  9
Houston Astros
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 31, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
10 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 29, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 12, 2024 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 10, 2024 - MLB

San Francisco Giants
6 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

67 %

Toronto Blue Jays

33 %

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 30, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  8
New York Yankees

Jun 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  16
New York Yankees

Jun 27, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  2
New York Yankees

Apr 17, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  6
New York Yankees

New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. The over is 14-1 in the Yankees’ past 15 games.
  2. The teams have split their past 10 games.
  3. The Yankees’ past five wins against Toronto have had an average margin of victory of six runs.
  4. The over is 9-1 in the teams’ past 10 meetings.

Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto has given up on the season and sold from what was already a fairly weak team. The Blue Jays’ promise never materialized in 2024, in part because the bullpen just couldn’t get outs. The Jays can hit, but if the starters don’t go deep into the game, Toronto’s usually going to give it up in the later innings.

Yariel Rodriguez on the road doesn’t inspire much confidence. He has his only win of the season away from Toronto, but his ERA is 5.57 in road starts and the win came against the punchless Mariners. In his last appearance at Baltimore, he was gone before the end of the first inning in an 11-5 loss to the AL East leaders. Cole’s likely to bounce back, but the higher value is on the Yankees to provide the offense. Our prediction for Toronto vs. New York is Yankees Team Total Over 5.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Yankees Team Total Over 5.5 Runs

 

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks