Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The World Series moves to Los Angeles, CA, for Game 3 between the Toronto Blue Jays and the LA Dodgers, with the game scheduled to get underway at Dodger Stadium at 8 p.m. EST. It has been a tale of two games so far, with the Blue Jays dominating Game 1, winning 11-4. But then the Dodgers took control in Game 2, winning 5-1 as Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitched a complete game.
For Game 3, the Blue Jays are scheduled to start Max Scherzer. The veteran right-hander did not have a great regular season, going 5-5 in 17 starts with a 5.19 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and .262 OBA. But on the road, things got a little worse (2-4 in seven starts with a 5.91 ERA and .252 OBA). He faced the Dodgers once and took the loss after pitching six innings and giving up six hits and two earned runs. As for the Dodgers, LA is set to start Tyler Glasnow. He went 4-3 in 18 starts with a 3.19 ERA and .177 OBA, with his best stuff often coming at home (3-2 in 11 starts with a 2.77 ERA and .172 OBA. He has appeared in three postseason games, starting two, but has not factored into the decision. However, he has given up just seven hits across all three appearances (13 1/3 innings) and just one earned run.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Los Angeles Dodgers and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches
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Los Angeles Dodgers against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
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Los Angeles Dodgers - Toronto Blue Jays: Form Analysis
Game one looked like it was going to be a close matchup up to the 6th inning, where the Blue Jays put up 9 unanswered runs, including a pinch hit grand slam from Addison Barger. The Dodgers managed to rally a couple runs in the 7th but couldn't match the Jays in the first game.
The Dodgers showed up in game 2, showing why their bullpen is among the scariest in the big leagues with Roki Sasaki putting on an absolute master class in front of the Toronto crowd. The Blue Jays will be relieved that Sasaki won't be available for game 3 but will need to step up some magic of their own as the series heads to Los Angeles.
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Los Angeles Dodgers & Toronto Blue Jays Squad Analysis
The Blue Jays went 40-41 on the road during the regular season, hitting .260 (second-best road batting average in baseball) with 87 home runs and posting a 4.46 ERA (which is right in line with their postseason road ERA of 4.40). But the lineup has come alive on the road in the playoffs, hitting .306 with eight home runs.
Four players are hitting .300+ on the road in the playoffs, and two are hitting over .500: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.526) and Ernie Clement (.524). In 17 at-bats vs. Glasnow, he has hit .353 (six hits, including two doubles and a home run).
The Dodgers were one of the best home teams in baseball during the regular season, going 52-29 with a .260 batting average and 142 home runs; the pitching staff posted a 4.0 ERA at Dodger Stadium, but in the playoffs, they've posted a 2.73 ERA. Their batting average has only been slightly better at .270. They've hit nine home runs at home in postseason play.
Two players have been hitting .300+ at home in the playoffs: Mookie Betts (.440) and Tommy Edman (.300). Betts has hit .300 against Glasnow with three hits in ten at-bats, including a home run. Edman has hit .375 against him with six hits in 16 at-bats, including a home run.
Los Angeles Dodgers - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- The Blue Jays' lineup has faced Glasnow in 100 at-bats, recording 21 hits (including three home runs) for a .210 OBA
- Scherzer has faced the Dodgers lineup in 172 at-bats, giving up 38 hits (including seven home runs) for a .221 OBA.
- Scherzer got the win in his one postseason start, going 5 2/3 innings vs. Seattle and giving up three hits and two earned runs.
- Betting Public: 71% of TOTAL tickets, but just 31% of the handle, are on the OVER (8).
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Our Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Dodgers won the series vs. Toronto in LA in August, outscoring the Blue Jays 19-6 across all three games. Toronto has hit .306 on the road in the postseason, so I expect a better effort. However, the Dodgers were one of the best home teams in baseball this season, and Glasnow has been lights out in the postseason.
Our Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Pick: Dodgers -1.5
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
