Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9/5/26 19:10
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

OVER 9.5

-115
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays will try to keep the pressure on the Cleveland Guardians for the final AL wild card slot today when they face off against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV once the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. EST.

With wins in six of their last seven games, including two over the Guardians, the Blue Jays have improved to 71-71 and sit a game back of Cleveland. The season series between the Blue Jays and Royals is currently tied at 2-2.

The pitching matchup is one neither fan base can feel particularly good about. Max Scherzer has won just two of 13 starts this season and has a 6.16 ERA this season. Yes, his last start was solid: he went seven innings, allowed a single, and struck out 10.

As for the Royals, Seth Lugo has better overall stats, but his numbers are still unimpressive. He has won six of his 28 starts this season while posting a 1.42 WHIP. He and Scherzer faced off in the August 25 game in Toronto. Lugo came away with the win after giving up six hits and one earned run over five innings.

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
14 Toronto Blue Jays
0.5 142 71 71
26 Kansas City Royals
0.444 142 63 79

Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
7 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  9
Miami Marlins

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
11 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  8
Kansas City Royals

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  3
Kansas City Royals
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
7 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  9
Miami Marlins

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
11 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  2
Detroit Tigers
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
11 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  8
Kansas City Royals

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Aug 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  13
Kansas City Royals

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Kansas City Royals

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  0
Seattle Mariners

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Seattle Mariners
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  0
Seattle Mariners

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  3
Seattle Mariners

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Seattle Mariners

Aug 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  13
Kansas City Royals

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Kansas City Royals

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Kansas City Royals
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 3, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Kansas City Royals against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

Kansas City Royals

67 %

Toronto Blue Jays

33 %

Aug 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  13
Kansas City Royals

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Kansas City Royals

Aug 25, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
20 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks

Kansas City Royals - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. Kansas City has won 11 of the last 17 games against the Blue Jays.
  2. Kansas City is 35-35 ATS (run line) at home; Toronto is 35-35 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 35-33-2 for the Royals at home and 37-31-2 for the Blue Jays on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 75% of total tickets and 79% of the handle are on the OVER.

Our Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m not crazy about either pitcher in this game; both have shown flashes throughout the season, but neither can be relied on. With two lineups doing a decent job at the plate over the last week (Kansas City: .249 BA; Toronto: .267 BA), I've got more faith in both lineups having solid days at the plate than in either pitcher having a good day. Because of that, I’m more inclined to take the over in what could be a relatively high-scoring game rather than try to pick a winner.

Our Toronto vs. Kansas City Pick: Over 9.5  

Prediction:

 

OVER 9.5

-115
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