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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Detroit Tigers will aim to halt a worrying skid when they open a four-game home series against the surging Toronto Blue Jays today at Comerica Park. Despite holding the best record in the American League, Detroit has been in a downward spiral, dropping nine of its last ten games, including a frustrating 6-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday that sealed a three-game sweep. The Tigers' offense has gone cold at the worst possible time, and their once-commanding lead in the AL Central is quickly shrinking.
Toronto, meanwhile, enters this matchup riding a wave of momentum. The Blue Jays secured an 8-4 win over the Yankees on Wednesday to take that series and now begin an eight-game road trip with confidence. Winners of five of their six games since the All-Star break, Toronto leads the AL East by four games and looks to continue building on its hot second-half start.
While the Tigers have a strong home record at 32-18 this season, their current offensive slump looms large. Despite a solid starting pitcher on the mound, Detroit’s lack of run production has been a consistent issue over the last two weeks. On the other hand, the Blue Jays, though below .500 on the road at 23-25, are swinging the bats well and finding ways to win games with timely hitting and solid bullpen work.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
1
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0.596 | 104 | 62 | 42 |
8
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0.571 | 105 | 60 | 45 |
Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 13, 2025 - MLB
Jul 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 11, 2025 - MLB
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 7, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Jul 20, 2025 - MLB
Jul 19, 2025 - MLB
Jul 18, 2025 - MLB
Toronto Blue Jays against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
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Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Feb 28, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Toronto Blue Jays - Detroit Tigers Key Points
- The Blue Jays are 10-0 in their last 10 games as underdogs
- The Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 games as favorites
- The Blue Jays are 11-0 covering the run line in their last 11 games as underdogs
- The Tigers are 0-10 covering the run line in their last 10 games
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Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The pitching matchup is an intriguing one, with Eric Lauer taking the mound for the Blue Jays. Lauer has put together a solid season with a 5-2 record, a 2.80 ERA, and 65 strikeouts. However, his career numbers against Detroit are concerning—he's 0-2 with a bloated 13.50 ERA against the Tigers, suggesting that past outings against this lineup have not gone his way.
Detroit counters with right-hander Reese Olson, who has quietly become one of the team’s most dependable arms. Olson boasts a 4-3 record, a 2.71 ERA, and 61 strikeouts. He’s been dominant in limited appearances against Toronto, owning a 1-0 record with a stellar 0.55 ERA and 10 strikeouts. Olson has also held opposing teams to two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts, offering Detroit a glimmer of hope amid their recent struggles.
With Detroit’s offense in a rut and Toronto’s lineup firing on all cylinders, the Blue Jays hold a slight edge in the series opener. If Lauer can shake off his poor history against the Tigers, Toronto may continue its post-break surge while Detroit searches for a spark to reclaim its early-season dominance. Our prediction for Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Blue Jays to win.
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