Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Chicago Cubs will host the Toronto Blue Jays Thursday afternoon at Wrigley Field in the Windy City, a make-up game from June 21. First Pitch for this game is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Chicago is coming into the game feeling good after completing a sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers yesterday with a 7-6 victory in extra innings (F/10). Toronto, despite being the last-place team in the AL East, is feeling good after winning the series with the Astros with a 5-4 in extra innings yesterday (F/10).
Toronto will send Dylan Cease to the mound to start the day. Cease is 7-5 this season in 20 starts with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP; teams have hit .184 against him this season. He has been at his best when on the road, going 6-1 in nine road starts with a 1.92 ERA and a .163 OBA.
The Cubs are scheduled to go with David Peterson to start. His overall numbers have not been stellar this season as he is 6-7 in 22 appearances, with 14 appearances, a 5.52 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. He has not been at his best at home, where he is 2-4 in 11 appearances with seven starts, a 6.75 ERA, and a .299 OBA.
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Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.58 | 119 | 69 | 50 |
|
23
|
0.475 | 120 | 57 | 63 |
Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 2, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - MLB
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Chicago Cubs against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Chicago Cubs - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- Toronto leads the all-time series vs. Chicago, 15-14.
- Chicago is 25-33 ATS (run line) at home; Toronto is 26-30 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 31-27 for the Cubs at home and 27-27-2 for Toronto on the road.
- Toronto hitters have hit .222 against Peterson in 36 at-bats; Cubs hitters have hit .198 against Cease in 106 at-bats.
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Our Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
From a pitching perspective, the Blue Jays are the obvious choice because Cease is by far the better pitcher between the two. However, Toronto has been struggling to make contact, hitting .206 over the last week and generating just 19 runs in six games. But while Peterson’s season stats are not impressive, he has been solid in his last few starts, giving up a total of four runs. So, it is not a stretch to imagine him having a solid day against the Blue Jays. But it is more likely that a Cubs team hitting .260 over the last week could generate a couple of runs against Cease.
The Under is not a bad bet (7.5 at -104), but I see some value in the Cubs ML at +108.
Our Toronto vs. Chicago Pick: Cubs ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.