Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Toronto Blue Jays will go for a sweep against the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series on Thursday.
The Toronto Blue Jays have won the first two games against the Boston Red Sox by putting the clamps on their offense. Toronto, which has allowed only one run so far in this series, will start Trey Yesavage to finish off Boston in Game 3. Yesavage has surrendered 11 earned runs over his last two starts, but he blanked the Red Sox through 5.1innings in a 3-0 win on April 28.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox will pin their hopes on right-handed pitcher Sonny Gray, who carries an impressive 8-1 record with a 3.03 ERA. In his last start, Gray allowed five hits and one earned run over six innings in a 10-1 win over Texas on June 12. However, Gray will be pitching against Toronto for the first time in three years. He was pitching for Minnesota the last time he faced the Blue Jays. In that game, he conceded one earned run over five innings in a 3-2 win.
Caesars Sportsbook expects a tight series finale, posting the Red Sox as slight favorites at -125. However, Toronto (+105) has won its last four meetings with Boston and five of the last five encounters.
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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
0.494 | 77 | 38 | 39 |
|
27
|
0.411 | 73 | 30 | 43 |
Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Boston Red Sox against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jun 17, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 2, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Boston.
- Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston.
- Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
- Boston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Toronto squeaks out a close win over Boston to complete a series sweep.
The Blue Jays have the Red Sox’s numbers in their recent meetings.
Over their last three faceoffs, Toronto has pumped up 5.67 runs per game while Boston hasn’t even averaged one run a game at 0.67 rpg.
Yesavage might have struggled in his last two outings, but he should like his matchup against the Red Sox, who are averaging 3.7 runs per game on a .228 BA over the last 10 games.
Gray will continue to sustain his strong form on the mound, but he alone cannot win this game for the Red Sox unless he gets steady run support.
Toronto will not dominate Boston this time, but I feel their offense can still win this game down the stretch.
Our betting prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the Boston Red Sox: The Blue Jays will win.
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