Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6/17/26 18:45
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

OVER 9.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox (29-41, 12-23 Home) will try to get their home stand back on track today when they host the Toronto Blue Jays (35-38, 14-20 Away )in the second game of a three-game series at Fenway Park in Beantown. Fans can watch this AL East battle on MLB.TV once it gets underway at 6:45 p.m. EST.

After a dreadful road trip that saw them go 1-4, the Red Sox returned home for a 6-game homestand, starting with a weekend series vs. the Texas Rangers. The weekend started well with wins on Friday and Saturday. But they dropped the finale on Sunday and lost 6-1 to the Blue Jays yesterday.

Neither team can be too excited about today’s pitching matchup. Toronto is scheduled to send Max Scherzer to the mound to start the day. The one-time ace is 1-4 in six starts with a 10.23 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. However, in his one road start, he did not factor into the decision, allowed just two earned runs, and held the opposition to a .238 BA.

As for the Red Sox, Jake Bennett is scheduled to start. Bennett is 1-2 in three starts with a 5.28 ER and a 1.50 WHIP.  After holding the Astros to one run in his debut (May 1), he has given up four runs in each of his last two starts.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
18 Toronto Blue Jays
0.487 76 37 39
28 Boston Red Sox
0.403 72 29 43

Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  3
Texas Rangers

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
10 :  1
Texas Rangers

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Boston Red Sox
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  6
Texas Rangers

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  3
Texas Rangers

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
10 :  1
Texas Rangers

Jun 4, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  8
Baltimore Orioles

Jun 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  1
Baltimore Orioles
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Jun 8, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Jun 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Jun 5, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  5
Boston Red Sox

May 31, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  9
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  8
New York Yankees

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  5
New York Yankees

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 14, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  8
New York Yankees

Jun 13, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Jun 12, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  5
New York Yankees

Jun 10, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 9, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 8, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 4, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 3, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 2, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 31, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

May 30, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

50 %

Toronto Blue Jays

50 %

Jun 16, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Mar 2, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Feb 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
11 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. Boston leads the all-time series vs. Toronto, 403-342.
  2. Boston is 12-23 ATS (run line) at home and Toronto is 15-19 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 13-20-2 for the Red Sox at home and 15-17-2 for the Blue Jays on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 72% of total tickets and 77% of the handle are on the OVER.

Our Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I would love to hear someone make an argument for betting on the UNDER (which many have). Boston is hitting the ball pretty well at the moment (.284 over the last week), and Toronto isn’t doing too poorly, either (.254). Both pitchers leave something to be desired. Scherzer may have been great back in the day, but he isn’t now. If this total does not go over ten runs, it may be time to rethink who the hitting coaches are.

My Toronto vs. Boston Pick: OVER 9.5

Prediction:

 

OVER 9.5

-105
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks