Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

Prediction published on 3/25/26, 5:01 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 3/26/26 at 3:54 PM in ATP Miami Picks

Winning nearly 83 percent of his first ball in Miami, Arthur Fils eyes a convincing win over Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Miami Open.

A massive payout is on the line here, particularly if Fils routs Paul by at least 6 games or over 5.5 games (+650).

Current Form:

After dispatching Stefanos Tsitsipas in under one hour, Arthur Fils faced some resistance from Valentin Vacherot, but the prodigious Frenchman still found a way to carve out a 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 win on Tuesday. Fils has yet to concede a service game in Miami, where he has won 82 percent of his first serves and saved 100 percent of breakpoints.

Meanwhile, Paul made quick work of Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-1, 6-3 to clinch a quarterfinal slot in Miami. Ranked No.23 in the world, Paul holds a 14-6 record this season, including an 8-4 record against the top-50 players on the ATP Tour. Paul defeated Fils in three sets in their first meeting at the 2023 Shanghai Open, so it’s going to be really interesting to see how Fils can solve the American in his second try.