Tijuana vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Tijuana
10/22/25 23:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Total Goals in 1st Half - Over 1.5

+110
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 by Edgar Jibran in Liga MX Picks

Tijuana and Toluca have been two of the most spectacular teams in the current Liga MX season; however, Toluca is the clear favorite to win their next Wednesday night game at Estadio Caliente, according to the bookies’ odds. In this regard, it’s worth noting that Tijuana lost sixth place in the standings after failing to win either of their last two games, due to a disastrous defensive performance.

Furthermore, despite having a very competitive season, the fans don’t appear to be engaged with the team, so after a shocking 4-3 loss to Puebla last weekend, their stadium is projected to be semi-empty this Wednesday. Nevertheless, even though that factor could affect the team’s motivation, this game is expected to be an excellent opportunity for Gilberto Mora to generate a positive impact on the offense.

Meanwhile, Toluca stands out as the only team that was able to win their last seven Liga MX games, with three or more goals scored in those games. Additionally, during their weekend home game against Queretaro, Toluca was able to achieve a dominant 3-0 victory in the first half, where players like Alexis Vega and Paulinho showed their offensive skills once again.

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Tijuana vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
31 13 10 1 2 23
7
Tijuana
Tijuana
20 13 5 5 3 9

Tijuana and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana Latest matches
L W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  0
Tijuana

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
5 :  0
Club Leon

Sep 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

San Diego FC
4 :  2
Tijuana
D D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
5 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 31, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Club Necaxa

Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  3
Chivas

Jul 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
FC Juarez
D W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  0
Tijuana

Sep 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

San Diego FC
4 :  2
Tijuana

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  1
Tijuana

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Tijuana

Aug 9, 2025 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
2 :  2
Tijuana
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Tijuana against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Tijuana

20 %

Draw

20 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.2
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.4
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.8
Goals scored (Team 2)
80%
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 14, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Tijuana

Feb 25, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Tijuana

Sep 15, 2023 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 17, 2023 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
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Players list

Tijuana
Tijuana
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

R. Fernandez

J. Vega

J. Gomez

J. Porozo

Midfielder

F. Boya

I. Tona Olmeda

K. Castaneda

G. Mora

R. Arciga

Forward

M. El Ghezouani

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

H. Gonzalez Duran

Defender

F. Pereira

D. Zaragoza

E. Lopez del Villar

J. Gallardo

Midfielder

M. Ruiz

F. Romero

N. Castro

R. Angulo

Forward

R. Morales

A. Vega

Substitutes

Tijuana
Tijuana
Goalkeeper

J. Hernandez

Defender

A. Mejia Montoya

U. Bilbao

Midfielder

K. Escamilla

J. Corona

Forward

S. Nicholson

D. Blanco

E. Bullaude

A. Preciado

Vitinho

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

A. Briseno

M. Isais

B. Mendez

Midfielder

S. Simon

H. Herrera

F. Arce

Forward

J. Arroyo

A. Alvarez

O. Virgen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tijuana
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Colombia J. Zuniga (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (25 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico R. Arciga (8 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (17 Assists)

Tijuana and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

Tijuana
Tijuana
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
38%
Victories
77%
38%
Draw
8%
23%
Defeats
15%
3.31
Total goals per match
4.23
2
Goals scored per match
3
1.31
Goals conceded per match
1.23
54%
Over 2.5
77%
46%
Under 2.5
23%
54%
BTTS
69%
38%
No goals conceded
23%

Tijuana - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Tijuana has scored two or more goals in their last five home games, and it is worth noting that they have remained unbeaten since losing to Necaxa (1-2) last April.
  2. Toluca once again has the season's top scorer, Paulinho, who has scored 10 goals this season.
  3. Tijuana has scored two or more goals in four of their last five home meetings against Toluca but hasn’t won since September 2023.
  4. Toluca has consistently scored when visiting Tijuana in Liga MX since February 2020, a streak that is expected to continue.
Up to $500+ to bet on Tijuana - Deportivo Toluca FC! 

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Our Tijuana vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

For this game, both teams are expected to maintain their attacking consistency, so goals are expected to be scored on both sides. Nonetheless, it’s undeniable that Antonio Mohamed has built a very solid team, with all the players clearly engaged in the collective objectives.

With this in mind, it makes sense to have Toluca as the clear favorites to win this game, it being likely to have a strong offensive proposal during the first half to allow the key players to rest in the second. Therefore, the pick for Club Tijuana – Deportivo Toluca FC is: Total Goals in 1st Half – Over 1.5!

Prediction:

 

Total Goals in 1st Half - Over 1.5

+110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tijuana vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks