Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
A weekend 3-game set between the Houston Astros (17-28) and the Texas Rangers (21-22) will begin tonight in Houston. Texas is just 1 game out of the division lead, while the Astros find themselves a full 6 games back.
The Rangers are 4-1 over their last 5 games, and in their last two games, which were wins over the Diamondbacks, they scored a combined 13 runs. Jake Burger led the offense in those last two games. He went a combined 5-7 with a home run and 6 RBIs. Mackenzie Gore and Kumar Rocker started those games and finished with 1 earned run and 8 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Tonight, Jack Leiter will take the mound and bring his mediocre 1-3 record and 4.85 ERA with him. He is not going to have any easy time against this Astros team that is hitting .255 as a team, 4th best in MLB.
Houston is not only going to have an advantage at the plate. They will be starting Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-1 with a 1.88 ERA on the season. He has given up more than 1 run in only 1 start this season. That came against Cleveland, and it was just a 2 earned run game for him where he still picked up the win. He should be primed for another good start here against Texas.
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Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.504 | 119 | 60 | 59 |
|
14
|
0.5 | 118 | 59 | 59 |
Houston Astros and Texas Rangers Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 14, 2026 - MLB
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May 9, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 14, 2026 - MLB
May 13, 2026 - MLB
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May 5, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 10, 2026 - MLB
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May 1, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
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May 8, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 13, 2026 - MLB
May 12, 2026 - MLB
May 11, 2026 - MLB
May 10, 2026 - MLB
May 9, 2026 - MLB
May 8, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 7, 2026 - MLB
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May 1, 2026 - MLB
Houston Astros against Texas Rangers : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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Houston Astros - Texas Rangers Key Points
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Texas.
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas.
- Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League West Division.
- Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when there was no favorite.
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Our Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction
The Astros have not had much success lately, but certainly have the tools to break out and pick up a win here at home to open this series. They are in the top 10 in nearly every offensive category. Now, they get to face Leiter, who has had his struggles. We like Arrighetti in this matchup for the Astros and expect him to go deep in this start to help them get this win.
Our prediction for Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers: Houston to win
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