Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
10/4/25 15:30
Florida Gators

Prediction:

 

UNDER 42.5

-108
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 by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Picks

The No. 9 Texas Longhorns will head to the Sunshine State this weekend for a game against the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, aka The Swamp, in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff for this SEC battle is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. EST on Saturday, October 4.

Neither team has played up to the expectations analysts had for either heading into the season. Texas started the season off with a 14-7 loss to Ohio State, but it isn’t the loss that has taken the luster off the Longhorns' title hopes. It’s the surprising play of the new quarterback, Arch Manning. Ohio State was expected to be tough, but he also struggled against UTEP. While he blew away San Jose State and Sam Houston State, he was supposed to. As for Florida, quarterback play (among other things) has also held the Gators back. Expectations were sky high for DJ Lagway in his sophomore season after an impressive debut in limited time during his freshman season. But he has not taken the step forward in his development that he was expected to make.

But to be fair, Lagway has had an extremely tough start to the season. Not against Long Island U in the season opener, but vs. a surprisingly good USF team, the then-No. 3 LSU Tigers and No. 4 Miami.

Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
7
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns
0.5 2 1 0 1
11
Florida Gators
Florida Gators
0.333 3 1 0 2

Texas Longhorns and Florida Gators Latest Matches

Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Sam Houston State Bearkats
0 :  55
Texas Longhorns

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

UTEP Miners
10 :  27
Texas Longhorns

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

San Jose State Spartans
7 :  38
Texas Longhorns

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
7 :  14
Ohio State Buckeyes

Jan 10, 2025 - NCAA

Ohio State Buckeyes
28 :  14
Texas Longhorns

Jan 1, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
39 :  31
Arizona State Sun Devils
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Sam Houston State Bearkats
0 :  55
Texas Longhorns

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

UTEP Miners
10 :  27
Texas Longhorns

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

San Jose State Spartans
7 :  38
Texas Longhorns

Jan 10, 2025 - NCAA

Ohio State Buckeyes
28 :  14
Texas Longhorns

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
24 :  38
Texas Longhorns

Dec 7, 2024 - NCAA

Georgia Bulldogs
22 :  19
Texas Longhorns
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
7 :  14
Ohio State Buckeyes

Jan 1, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
39 :  31
Arizona State Sun Devils

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
17 :  7
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
20 :  10
Arkansas Razorbacks

Oct 26, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
27 :  24
Vanderbilt Commodores

Sep 7, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
31 :  12
Michigan Wolverines
Florida Gators
Florida Gators Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
10 :  20
LSU Tigers

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
18 :  16
Florida Gators

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

LIU Sharks
0 :  55
Florida Gators

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Tulane Green Wave
8 :  33
Florida Gators

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
31 :  11
Florida State Seminoles
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
18 :  16
Florida Gators

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

LIU Sharks
0 :  55
Florida Gators

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Tulane Green Wave
8 :  33
Florida Gators

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Ole Miss Rebels
17 :  24
Florida Gators

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
16 :  27
Florida Gators

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
20 :  48
Florida Gators
L L L W L L
Victories

1/5 (20%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

4/5 (80%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
10 :  20
LSU Tigers

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
31 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  49
Texas Longhorns

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
20 :  34
Georgia Bulldogs

Texas Longhorns against Florida Gators : Head to Head (H2H)

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  49
Texas Longhorns

Texas Longhorns - Florida Gators Key Points

  1. Texas and Florida have only played four times; Texas has won three, and they tied in the other game.
  2. Texas and Florida are both 1-3 ATS.
  3. The OVER is 1-3 for Texas and 0-4 for Florida.
  4. Betting Public: 79% of TOTAL tickets and 82% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Prediction

Both teams have solid defenses that should keep the scoring down. As for who will win, that is hard to say. Texas is the likely (and popular) choice, but Manning struggled against the only good defense he has played (Ohio State). Lagway has struggled throughout the season, but in fairness, he has played a brutal schedule. However, it is unlikely that things will get easier for him against the Texas defense. If you want to pick a winner, take Texas and lay the points. But the TOTAL is the better bet.

Our Texas vs. Florida Pick: UNDER 42.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 42.5

-108
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators Picks