US Open 2025 Picks & Predictions

US Open - 2025 Tournament Preview and Predictions 

Ready to make your US Open tennis predictions? The SportyTrader editorial team is on your side! From August 24th to September 7th, 2025, our tennis experts reveal their best analyses on the last Grand Slam of the season, along with their best betting advice.

Who will be able to succeed Jannik Sinner on the courts of Flushing Meadows? What are the sports bets to favor on the American fortnight? Who are the favorites of the US Open? We tell you everything on this page! Your tennis bets are likely to delight you in this 2025 edition of the US Open.

The tournament sheet

• Location: Flushing Meadows, New York, United States
• Dates: August 24th to September 7th, 2025
• Surface: Hard (outdoor)
• Prize Money: $75M 
• The last winner: Jannik Sinner

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US Open Winner Prediction: Who will win the tournament in 2025?

Jannik Sinner will defend his title at the 2025 US Open! Still as brilliant as ever this season, the current world number one is sweeping all before him. Winner at Wimbledon and the Australian Open and finalist at the French Open, Sinner is the most dangerous player in this season's Grand Slams. As you can see, our experts have made the Italian their favorite in New York.

Djokovic, who won here in 2023, is likely to suffer physically with the string of matches. For his part, Alcaraz should be Sinner's main threat, but the Spaniard is still less flamboyant on hard courts, having not won a Grand Slam on the surface since his victory at the US Open in 2022. We therefore see Sinner, who has won the last three Grand Slams played on hard courts, retaining his trophy. Our 2025 US Open prediction: victory for Jannik Sinner!

US Open Prediction: Odds for the ATP Title

• Jannik Sinner +100
• Carlos Alcaraz +210
• Novak Djokovic +1600
• Alexander Zverev +2200
• Taylor Fritz +2500
• Jack Draper +2700
• Ben Shelton +3000
• Daniil Medvedev +5500
• Jakub Mensik +8000
• Lorenzo Musetti +10000
• Holger Rune +10000
• Matteo Berrettini +10000
• Alexander Bublik +10000
• Alex De Minaur +10000
• Arthur Fils +10000
• Karen Khachanov +10000
• Casper Ruud +12500
• Stefanos Tsitsipas +12500

Odds courtesy of www.fanduel.com 

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US Open Women's Winner Prediction: Who will win the WTA tournament in 2025?

As with the men, the WTA draw is particularly interesting to follow this year. Defending champion Aryna Sabalenka faces stiff competition this year at the US Open. She remains one of the favorites to win in 2025.

Her main rivals are none other than Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff, the latter of whom can count on the support of the American public. But given her form, Sabalenka is likely to be difficult to stop at the US Open. After her title in Miami earlier this year, the world number one could well excel again on American soil. Our US Open WTA prediction: Sabalenka wins the tournament!

US Open Prediction: Odds for the WTA Title

• Aryna Sabalenka +240
• Iga Swiatek +380
• Coco Gauff +700
• Mirra Andreeva +1300
• Elena Rybakina +1400
• Naomi Osaka +1900
• Madison Keys +2200
• Amanda Anisimova +2500
• Jessica Pegula +3000
• Victoria Mboko +3000
• Emma Raducanu +3300
• Jasmine Paolini +5500
• Clara Tauson +5500
• Elina Svitolina +7500
• Bianca Andreescu +8000
• Leylah Fernandez +8000
• Ashlyn Krueger +8000
• Linda Noskova +8000

Odds courtesy of www.fanduel.com 

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The stats you need to know for your 2025 US Open predictions

Now that you know our editorial team’s picks for the 2025 US Open, let’s talk about the key stats from the American Grand Slam. To bet smart on the US Open, you really need to know the tournament’s essential numbers, which give you a clear edge on which tennis bets to target.

Here are the main US Open stats our tennis experts have tracked. Keep them handy:

• Average games per match: 35.3 games
• Matches decided in three sets: 50%
• Matches decided in four sets: 34%
• Matches decided in five sets: 16%
• Matches where the winner took the 1st set: 77%
• Comebacks from 0–2 to 3–2: 4%
• Matches with a golden set (6–0): 8%
• Tie-break in the 1st set: 17%
• Tie-break in the 2nd set: 15%
• Tie-break in the 3rd set: 11%
• Tie-break in the 4th set: 8%

For your bets on the New York tournament in 2025, the takeaway is that it’s often better to back matches with a lot of games, and it can pay to place a live bet on the player who wins the first set. While nothing is guaranteed, this approach could make a real difference in your bankroll.

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Our advice for betting on the US Open

Each season, the US Open is the last Grand Slam tournament of the tennis year. After the Australian Open, the French Open and Wimbledon, the American tournament brings together the best players on the planet, for an event that is highly publicized around the world. Between its legendary track record (Nadal, Djokovic, Federer of course, but also Murray, Sampras, Agassi, Edberg, Becker, Lendl, McEnroe and others), its enjoyable game or its decisive character in qualifying for the Masters tournament at the end of the season, the US Open always attracts tennis lovers, and especially bettors. To succeed in your bets this year, here are the main tips from our team of tennis betting specialists.

Check the players' form

The first thing to do to correctly predict a US Open tennis match is obviously to check the fitness of the two players who are facing each other. Don't fall into the trap of big names! Placed just after the exhausting Rogers Cup and Cincinnati Masters in the calendar, the US Open puts the different athletes who take part in it to the test. If you were only planning to bet based on the ATP ranking or the notoriety of the two players, forget it right away. You must absolutely look at the latest results recorded by both sides, and some statistics such as the number of winning points scored in the last matches, the number of service games conceded, or even break/set/match points missed. This will give you a good view of the physical and mental fitness of both players.

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Consider the playing surface

The US Open is a tournament that is played on Hard (hard surface) and outdoors. Take this into account when analyzing your matches. Don't forget that each player has a preference for a tennis surface. How can we not mention Jannik Sinner on hard, or Roger Federer on grass in his heyday? To bet reliably in 2025, focus on tennis players or tennis women who are used to shining on hard. A surface that allows for a fairly fast and intense game, and for which physical fitness is therefore essential. For example, avoid betting on a player who has only achieved good results on grass or clay this season. This could mislead you.

Watch the history of confrontations (head-to-head)

In tennis, as in any other individual sport, mental and psychology count for a lot in performance. It is necessary to know which player has the psychological strength before predicting a US Open match. Even if a player is ranked higher than another in the ATP Ranking and has a more convincing last match than his opponent of the day, avoid, for example, betting on his success if he has 4 consecutive defeats against the latter. Each player has strengths and weaknesses, it is not uncommon to find a "pet peeve" for each player on the circuit. So take the time to check the last face-to-face matches between the two players who are going to face each other, this will strengthen the reliability of your US Open prediction.

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Watch the latest performances at the US Open

In the same vein as the previous advice, we also advise you to check the latest US Opens played on both sides of the court. As with an opponent or a surface, each player has his favorite tournaments, and others that he likes much less. For example, we can cite the Australian Open and the Masters 1000 in Miami for Novak Djokovic or Wimbledon and the Masters 1000 in Cincinnati for the legend Roger Federer during his best years. To succeed in your tennis prediction, take the time to check the course of each player during the last edition of the US Open, or even the last 2-3 editions. If a player is for example ranked 30 places above his opponent of the day but has never passed the second round at Flushing Meadows, avoid betting big on him. All players have their habits in tennis, never forget that.

Having the ATP ranking in mind

Finally, as a fifth big tip, we implore you to keep an eye on the ATP ranking and the points racein mind when predicting a match at the 2024 US Open. Remember that a player must match his performance from the previous year to not lose points, or do better if he wants to gain some. If a player is aiming for a qualification for the Nitto ATP Finals, a place in the Top 3, his best career ranking or simply the number 1 spot in his country, be sure that he will be motivated to beat his opponent of the day. With motivation, he will then be favored in your US Open prediction. Conversely, if a player is not aiming for anything special and is playing the tournament to have fun, do not bet too much on his performance. Involvement counts for a lot in the outcome of a tennis match.

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In short: how to make a good US Open 2025 prediction?

To have reliable predictions on the US Open this year, there is no secret. In addition to consulting the tennis predictions of our specialists, take the time to analyze each match before betting on your side.

Whether we are talking about statistics, the current form of the players, or the mental environment of the match, many factors can influence the success of your tennis bets (see above). So work ahead of each bet, and you can only increase your chances of winning predictions. This is the vision of the tennis forecasters at SportyTrader.

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Our current US Open predictions

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