Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Finals

ATP - ATP Finals

ATP 6 USA
Taylor Fritz
11/13/25 08:00
ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+140
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

Also taking place in the Italian city of Turin on Thursday, at the ATP Finals, is a match between the world number six and the world number seven. Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur will do battle. It's the US vs Australia. Fritz comes into this contest having lost two out of two in Turin so far, though the American did improve on his opening effort to take a set from Carlos Alcaraz last time out. Can he now build on that and pick up a first win of the tournament? 

One thing is for sure, one of these two will secure their first victory at the 2025 renewal of the ATP Finals. De Minaur has also lost his first two matches, first coming unstuck against Carlos Alcaraz, before losing to Lorenzo Musetti. Will he do what he's failed to do in his last two matches against Fritz and come out on top? We'll soon find out. 

Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Form

Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Taylor Fritz Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Nov 10, 2025 - ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Aleksandar Vukic

Oct 23, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Oct 22, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Valentin Vacherot
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Nov 9, 2025 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Taylor Fritz against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Taylor Fritz

67 %

Alex De Minaur

33 %

Nov 21, 2024 - Davis Cup

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Nov 14, 2024 - ATP Finals

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Jan 1, 2024 - United Cup

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Aug 10, 2023 - ATP Toronto

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jun 24, 2022 - ATP Eastbourne International

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Mar 16, 2022 - ATP Indian Wells

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur
Compare Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Taylor Fritz - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. When the pair met at this tournament last year, three sets were played.
  2. Four of the last six hard-court matches between these players have produced more than the minimum number of sets.
  3. Three sets have been played in four of their last six three-set matches.
  4. Both players arrive here having played three sets last time out.

Our Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

This is far from an easy match to call, and I really wouldn't be surprised if this went the distance, would you? Let's be real, the pair could not be more closely matched according to the rankings, while there's a clear history of these two players pushing each other all the way, with many of their previoous encounters going beyond the minimum number of sets. 

When they met at this tournament a year ago, three sets were played, while if we consider that five of their last seven matches have not been won in straight sets, odds of +140 start to look a little too lenient to ignore. 

Our Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Pick: Over 2.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+140
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur Picks