Tatjana María vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open
WTA - WTA US Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
One of Tuesday's first-round matches at the US Open sees Tatjana Maria take on Jelena Ostapenko in what is a battle between Germany and Latvia. Those looking to side with Jelena Ostapenko because of what they know she can produce at her best will have to take her fitness on good faith.
The Latvian has only played two hard-court matches since the end of the grass-court season, one of which she retired from, before looking a shadow of herself against Magdalena Frech just over a fortnight ago. She's not played since, which doesn't exactly scream that she's fit and healthy ahead of her first-round match. In contrast, Tatjana Maria has been playing lots of hard-court tennis, and she's delivered some decent results too, so if Ostapenko isn't quite at her fittest, the German could easily come out on top.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Tatjana María vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Tatjana María and Jelena Ostapenko Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 15, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 13, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 3, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 1, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 29, 2026 - Memphis Classic
Jul 27, 2026 - Memphis Classic
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 15, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 24, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Tatjana María - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- Tatjana Maria has won each of her previous two matches against Jelena Ostapenko.
- Jelena Ostapenko has never won a set against Tatjana Maria.
- Jelena Ostapenko has not won any of her last three hard-court matches.
- Jelena Ostapenko has not played a competitive match in more than two weeks.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Tatjana María vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
Given that there are serious doubts over Jelena Ostapenko's fitness, it's hard to see why Tatjana Maria should be priced as big as +135 to win this match. After all, the German has a decent record against the Latvian, who has not been anywhere near her best in recent times. Even if she is now fit and well, she'll likely be a little off the pace having played very little hard-court tennis in recent weeks.
All things considered, Maria has enough in favor to be a slight favorite here, so all the time she's available at +135, she goes down as a value pick.
Our Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko Pick: Tatjana Maria to Win.
A Welcome Bonus for Tatjana María vs Jelena Ostapenko!
Looking to place a bet on Tatjana María vs Jelena Ostapenko? For this WTA US Open match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
