Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9/26/25 19:07
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

The Rays will win

+160
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays will visit the Toronto Blue Jays for their final regular-season series starting on Friday at Rogers Center.

The Rays, 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Blue Jays, have emerged as intriguing +154 road underdogs ahead of the series-opener.

Current Form:

The Rays are 2-3 in their last five games, earning the two wins in this stretch in Game 2 against the Red Sox (7-3) and Game 2 against the Orioles (6-2). Holding a 77-84 record, Tampa Bay sits fourth in the AL East, two games ahead of the cellar-dwelling Orioles (75-84). Over the last five games, the Rays have averaged 4.3 runs per game on a .262 BA while posting a 4.40 ERA.

The Jays are 2-3 in their last five assignments, winning the final game of their series against the Red Sox 6-1 to prevent a devastating sweep. The Jays and the Yankees have similar records of 91-68, but Toronto still occupies the No.1 spot in the AL East because it won its regular-season series against the Yankees. The Jays have a 3.89 ERA and averaged only 3.5 runs per game in their last five games.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4 Toronto Blue Jays
0.58 162 94 68
21 Tampa Bay Rays
0.475 162 77 85

Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
20 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  3
Houston Astros
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  7
Boston Red Sox

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  3
Houston Astros

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  7
Milwaukee Brewers
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
20 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  7
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
10 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
10 :  2
Seattle Mariners

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  7
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  13
New York Yankees
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  9
Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue Jays against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Blue Jays

67 %

Tampa Bay Rays

33 %

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 21, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

May 19, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 11, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  9
Toronto Blue Jays

May 25, 2023 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks

Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
  2. Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
  3. Tampa Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games against Toronto.
  4. Tampa Bay is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games.

Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Blue Jays, underscoring Tampa Bay’s head-to-head superiority over Toronto this year. Moreover, the Rays are 4-2 in their previous 6 games where they are the underdogs. Adam Houser, acquired from the Chicago White Sox in the midseason, has posted a 3-2 record with a 4.13 ERA in his last five starts. Houser has only surrendered three earned runs over his last 13.1 innings against the Blue Jays, who are batting .186 with an average of 3.5 runs per game over the last five games.

Toronto would have locked up the AL East title had it not gone 2-6 in its last 8 games. Projected starter Shane Bieber has sported a 3.99 ERA in his last five mound appearances, though Toronto’s starting pitchers have logged a 5.48 ERA over the previous five games. Toronto understands this game could make or break their AL East title hope, so expect them to go all-out right from the start. However, ignoring the Rays’ head-to-head dominance over the Jays this year is also hard.

Our betting prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: the Rays will win.

Prediction:

 

The Rays will win

+160
$200 offered for betting!

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