Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
6-1 in their last 7 road games, the Tampa Bay Rays will attempt to steal another away game against the Pittsburgh Pirates in Sunday’s series finale at PNC Park.
Momentum: The Tampa Bay Rays barged into the win column with an 8-7 extra-inning win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2. Tampa Bay has won 7 of its last 8 games, raising its record to 12-8. The Pirates have dropped 3 of their last 5 games, including their tough loss on Saturday, to plunge to 12-9 on the season.
The Matchup: After splitting the first two games, Sunday’s series finale will serve as the decider in this interleague showdown between the Rays and the Pirates.
Starting Pitchers: Rays LHP Shane McClanahan (1-1, 3.95 ERA) vs. Pirates RHP Mitch Keller (1-1, 2.86 ERA)
Hot on the Board: After a tough loss on Saturday, the Pirates are only -115 favorites on the moneyline but a tantalizing +180 on the -1.5 run line. The Rays are -105 road dogs and -220 at +1.5 runs. The total is set at a modest over/under 7.5 runs.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.588 | 80 | 47 | 33 |
|
16
|
0.494 | 83 | 41 | 42 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 18, 2026 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 18, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Apr 2, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
- Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
- Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League East Division
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Rays squeak out a 5-3 win over the Pirates
Sharp Play: The Rays will win.
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American League. However, Tampa Bay has been a really good road team lately, with a 6-1 record in its last 7 away games.
Shane McClanahan doesn’t have eye-popping numbers on the mound with a 3.95 ERA, but he got plenty of run support in his last two starts for the Rays. Pirates starter Mitch Keller had two shutouts already this season, though he just had a horrendous start in a 4-5 loss to the Nationals on April 14, giving up 5 earned runs over five innings.
Going back to the Rays being a formidable road team this season, Tampa Bay averages 5.1 runs per game on a .263 batting average in away games this season. Tampa Bay is also 11-3 SU in its last 14 games against Pittsburgh. These two things give me confidence that the Rays will bag the win, though a close one, on Sunday.
Our betting prediction for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates: The Rays will win
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