Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
One of the most interesting matchups taking place on the final day of the regular season is set to take place this afternoon in South Philadelphia. The Philadelphia Phillies have had chances to clinch their playoff berth numerous times this past week and have not been able to punch their ticket. They will get yet another opportunity today when they face the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Phillies have looked completely lost in the last month. They were in the driver’s seat in terms of their postseason destiny and have squandered opportunity after opportunity. They are lucky the Diamondbacks have continued to lose lately or they would be on the outside looking in on the wild card race. The bullpen has been an issue for the Phillies all season, but it has been more about the lack of offense that has caused their recent struggles. They have scored just 3 runs over their last 4 games. That will not cut it against anyone.
Tampa Bay continues to grow their best record in baseball as they have taken the 1st two games of this series with the Phillies. They have leaned on strong pitching to get those wins. Five pitchers combined for a complete-game, 4-hitter in game one. In game two, 7 pitchers combined to allow just 1 run on 7 hits and helped lead the Rays to a 12-1 win.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.605 | 162 | 98 | 64 |
|
8
|
0.543 | 162 | 88 | 74 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 26, 2026 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 20, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 26, 2026 - MLB
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Philadelphia Phillies against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 26, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 23, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Under is 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Martinez’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 11-0 in Martinez’s last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1 in Phillies last 4 games.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
With potentially their postseason hopes on the line, the Phillies are turning to veteran Zach Wheeler to pitch his way to a win. Wheeler has allowed just 6 runs over his last 5 starts. He will face Nick Martinez of the Rays. Martinez has allowed just 4 runs over his last 3 starts and now faces a struggling Phillies lineup. We like both pitchers to go deep and help keep the total down.
Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays: Under 6.5
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