Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

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Philadelphia Phillies
9/10/24 18:40
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 Runs

+125
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 by Dan Angell | in MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays (71-73 SU, 73-71 ATS) continue their road series with the Philadelphia Phillies (86-58 SU, 72-72 ATS). For the fifth consecutive series, the Phillies have won the series opener, which is a large reason why they’ve won six consecutive series overall. They’re sending Ranger Suarez back to the mound, and he’s mostly been reliable as long as the opponent isn’t Atlanta.

In his past two starts against the Braves, Suarez has been bombed for nine earned runs in nine innings. In his other four starts since June, Suarez has allowed eight earned runs in 21.1 innings. He’s not going to eat innings, but he will offer five to six good innings most nights and gives the Phillies a chance to win the game. As long as the bats don’t go cold, they can usually handle that: his past five defeats have all seen Philadelphia score two runs or less.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Philadelphia Phillies
0.586 162 95 67
20 Tampa Bay Rays
0.494 162 80 82

Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  16
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 5, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 4, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 1, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Aug 31, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Aug 29, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 28, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  10
Houston Astros

Aug 27, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  0
Houston Astros
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  16
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 5, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 4, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 3, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 20, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 5, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 4, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
9 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 3, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Sep 2, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 5, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 4, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
9 :  4
Minnesota Twins

Sep 3, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Minnesota Twins

Sep 2, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Sep 1, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
San Diego Padres

Aug 17, 2024 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 28, 2024 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 27, 2024 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 23, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Aug 21, 2024 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Philadelphia Phillies against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

Tampa Bay Rays

33 %

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 7, 2024 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2023 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. The Phillies have won four straight against the Rays.
  2. The Rays have been held to one run in three of four meetings with the Phillies.
  3. The Rays have lost seven straight series openers.
  4. The Rays are 8-0 in the second game of their past eight series.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay has been dynamite in the second game of its series, but Taj Bradley has not. In his past seven starts, Bradley hasn’t had one start where he’s allowed fewer than three runs. His only quality start in the past month-plus came on Aug. 19 at Oakland, and of course, the Rays never scored, wasting it. Otherwise, he’s given up home run after home run, allowing 10 long balls in his past six starts.

The Phillies can hit most nights, and Citizens Bank Park is still built for home-run hitters. The park’s reputation isn’t as feared for pitchers as it was 20 years ago, but the Phils still rank ninth in the majors in home runs for a reason. If Bradley can’t keep the ball down, he’s likely to give up at least one and possibly more long balls to this lineup. Our prediction for Tampa Bay vs. Philadelphia is Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 Runs

+125
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks