New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays clash in Game 3 of their series.
Bettors can take advantage of a much lower total for this game at over/under 6.0 runs as struggling starters Gerrit Cole and Ian Seymour take the mound again.
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The Tampa Bay Rays have gone 3-1 in their last four games to lock up the AL East title. Over the last five games, the Rays have displayed elite pitching with a 1.84 ERA.
As for the New York Yankees, their chance of stealing the AL East title from the Rays slipped away after dropping 3 of their last 4 games, including a 1-6 loss in Game 2 of this series. Since their 9-2 win over Arizona, the Yankees have not scored more than five runs in each of their last four games.
Starting Pitchers: Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole (9-9, 3.63 ERA) vs. Rays LHP Ian Seymour (9-7, 4.38 ERA).
The Matchup: Total has gone OVER in 3 of the last 5 meetings between the Yankees and the Rays.
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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.605 | 162 | 98 | 64 |
|
5
|
0.578 | 161 | 93 | 68 |
New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 22, 2026 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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New York Yankees against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
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New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gerrit Cole’s last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in the Yankees' last 8 games as an underdog.
- The Yankees average 7.0 runs against left-handed pitchers over their last five games.
- Yankees Gerrit Cole surrendered 3 runs and 7 hits in a 0-3 loss to Tampa Bay on July 8, 2026
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Our New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Key Stats: Both starting pitchers have posted an ERA above 5.00 over their last five games. Cole has registered a 5.34 ERA, while Seymour has pitched to 5.33 ERA in their last five mound assignments.
What to Expect: Offense will prevail in Game 3 of this series. The starting pitchers have been unreliable over their past starts, which leaves them vulnerable to both teams’ batting corps.
The Rays are only averaging 1.3 runs against right-handed pitchers over the last five games, but the Yankees have produced 7 runs a game against left-handed hurlers over their last five games.
DraftKings has also taken some risk by lowering the total for this game to 6.5 runs despite the recent form of Cole and Seymour.
Fearless Forecast: the Yankees 6, the Rays 4
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: Over 6.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
