Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Minnesota Twins could produce another high-scoring affair in Game 3, with both teams currently averaging roughly 5.0 runs per game this season.
Momentum: The Tampa Bay Rays leveled the series with the Minnesota Twins at 1-1 after their emphatic 7-1 win in Game 2. The win ended Tampa Bay’s three-game losing skid and improved its record to 3-5. The result also snapped the Twins’ two-game winning streak, dropping them to 3-5 in the season.
Matchup: The Rays and the Twins are 1-1 in their first series of the season. The Twins took Game 1 with a 10-4 victory, and the Rays responded with a 7-1 victory.
Starting Pitchers: Rays starter Nick Martinez (3.00 ERA) will make his second start of the season after giving up two earned runs over six innings in a 3-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers on March 30. Twins’ Simeon Woods Richardson (0-1, 3.60 ERA) will try to rebound after surrendering two earned runs over 5.0 innings in a 1-3 win over the Kansas City Royals.
Hot on the Board: The Twins are slight favorites at -115 moneyline and +180 on the 1.5 run line. The Rays are -105 underdogs and -220 at +1.5 runs. Caesars Sportsbooks set the total at 8.0 runs.
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Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.607 | 117 | 71 | 46 |
|
16
|
0.492 | 120 | 59 | 61 |
Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 2, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
Mar 29, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 16, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 2, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
Mar 29, 2026 - MLB
Mar 28, 2026 - MLB
Mar 26, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 31, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
Mar 29, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 10, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 8, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 31, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
Mar 29, 2026 - MLB
Minnesota Twins against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 4, 2026 - MLB
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 14, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 10, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 3, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
- Minnesota is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home.
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Our Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Twins nip the Rays 6-5
Best Pick: Total Over 8.0 runs.
With the way the first two games wound up, taking a side on the moneyline could prove costly. The Twins do look like an enticing pick because I am a fan of Simeon Woods Richardson, but I just can’t trust Minnesota’s bullpen right now, not with their 6.03 ERA per 9 innings. Speaking of the bullpen, numbers from the Rays’ relief pitchers are way worse at 11.01 ERA per 9 innings.
Tampa Bay averages 5.1 runs per game while hitting .271; Minnesota averages 4.7 runs per game and is hitting .206 with one homer per game. Moreover, the total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 road games against Minnesota. The trends and stats are pointing to one direction: another high-scoring ballgame in Game 3.
Our betting prediction for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. the Minnesota Twins: Over 8.0 runs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
