Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Bill Christy | in MLB Picks
Mick Abel of the Minnesota Twins (3-4) began his career in Philadelphia last season and spent just minimal time there before heading to Minnesota. He has not looked promising over his short career. He saw action in 6 games for Philly and finished with a 2-2 record and, more importantly, a 5.04 ERA. He then saw that ERA explode to 8.36 in his 4 games with Minnesota. To kick things off this season, Abel allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in just 3.1 innings against the Orioles in his 1st start of the season.
While Abel has struggled, the Twins had struggled before the last 2 games. Before their back-to-back wins over Kansas City on Thursday and Tampa Bay on Friday, the Twins had lost 4 of their first 5 games to kick off the season. Now they face a Tampa Bay team that is hungry for a win and looking to snap a 3-game losing skid.
Steven Matz will be on the bump for the Rays, and while he was not spectacular in his opening start against the Cardinals, he did earn the win in the game. The Rays scored 6 runs in support of Matz and tacked on an additional 5 runs after he exited the game in route to an 11-7 victory.
If he is going to get run support like that again here against the Twins, it will be hard for them to lose this one. Luckily for Matz, Abel is on the other side and has been notorious for getting lit up early.
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Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.588 | 80 | 47 | 33 |
|
22
|
0.464 | 84 | 39 | 45 |
Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 2, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 28, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Mar 24, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 2, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
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Mar 26, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 31, 2026 - MLB
Mar 30, 2026 - MLB
Mar 29, 2026 - MLB
Mar 28, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
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Minnesota Twins against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 3, 2026 - MLB
Mar 21, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home.
- Minnesota is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing as the favorite.
- Minnesota is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games played on a Saturday when playing at home.
- Steven Matz is 3-0 SU in his last 3 starts.
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Our Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Steven Matz has spent most of his career in a relief role, but in his limited time as a spot starter, he has had success. He may have found a spot here in the Rays' rotation, but that will be tested throughout the season. We believe that he will have a good outing here against a Twins team that is hitting just .218. They will need to be much better due to their starter Abel facing a Rays lineup hitting .268, which is the 5th best in the league. We like the Rays to take game two here on the road.
Our prediction for Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay to win
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