Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Detroit Tigers (62-70, 33-32 Home) will go for the series win Wednesday afternoon when they host the Tampa Bay Rays (78-54, 35-31 Away) at Comerica Park in the final game of a three-game series. First Pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EST with coverage provided by MLB.TV.
Tampa Bay took the opener on Monday, a low-scoring contest, 4-1. But the Tigers turned the tables in Tuesday’s game and ended a six-game losing streak with a 4-1 win of their own.
Troy Melton is scheduled to get the start for the Tigers. Melton has a 7-2 record in 15 starts with a 1.60 ERA, a 1.0 WHIP, and teams have hit just .191 off of him. He’s often had his best stuff on the road this season, where he is 3-1 in eight starts with a 1.23 ERA and a .173 OBA.
Tampa Bay is expected to go with Freddy Peralta to start the day. Peralta is 5-11 in 26 starts with a 5.33 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and teams are hitting .267 off of him. But he has often had his better stuff at home, where he is 3-5 in 14 starts but with a 4.09 ERA and a .237 OBA.
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Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.61 | 154 | 94 | 60 |
|
20
|
0.471 | 155 | 73 | 82 |
Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Detroit Tigers against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Detroit Tigers - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Detroit has gone 12-5 against Tampa Bay over the last three seasons.
- Detroit is 34-31 ATS (run line) at home this season; Tampa Bay is 36-30 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 26-36-3 for the Tigers at home and 30-35-1 for the Rays on the road.
- Betting Public: 30% of total tickets and 33% of the handle are on the UNDER.
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
I cannot figure out why the public is going so heavy on the OVER for this game. Both previous games ended 4-1, just with different winners. Over the last week, the Tigers have been hitting just .200 with 18 runs scored in six games, while the Rays have been hitting .214 and scored 21 runs in seven games. Melton should do fine against the Rays lineup, and as long as Peralta does not get lit up like a Christmas tree by Detroit’s struggling lineup, the final score will be under eight runs.
Our Tampa Bay vs. Detroit Pick: UNDER 8
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