Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Both averaging below 4.0 runs per game against left-handed pitchers over their last five games, the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays could be headed to another low-scoring affair in Game 2.
Current Form:
The Red Sox have won their last 11 games and 16 of their last 20 games to improve their record to 48-48. Boston has been unhittable during this hot streak, commanding a 1.48 ERA record over their last 10 games.
The Tampa Bay Rays have surrendered 23 runs in their last three games, all of which ended in a loss. Tampa has posted a 5.23 ERA while averaging 3.8 runs over its last five games. The Rays still own the best record in the AL East at 56-40.
Starting Pitchers: Red Sox LHP Patrick Sandoval (2.08 ERA) vs. Rays LHP Ian Seymour (6-2, 4.59 ERA).
The Matchup: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games against Tampa Bay. Caesars Sportsbook set the over/under for this game at 9.5 runs, even though this match will feature two strong left-handed starters.
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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.607 | 117 | 71 | 46 |
|
7
|
0.542 | 118 | 64 | 54 |
Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 9, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
Jun 30, 2026 - MLB
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 12, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 12, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 9, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 12, 2026 - MLB
Jul 11, 2026 - MLB
Jul 10, 2026 - MLB
Jul 9, 2026 - MLB
Jul 8, 2026 - MLB
Jul 7, 2026 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 5, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 2, 2026 - MLB
Boston Red Sox against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
Jul 17, 2026 - MLB
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Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games played on a Saturday.
- The Red Sox and the Rays both average 3.6 runs per game against left-handed pitchers over their last five games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Key Stats: The Red Sox and the Rays both average 3.6 runs per game against left-handed pitchers over their last five games.
Sandoval has allowed one run in his last two starts, while Seymour, despite surrendering 9 runs in his last two outings, punished the Red Sox with one run over four innings on June 8, 2026.
What to Expect: The Red Sox remain a tantalizing pick to extend their win streak, but the safest pick in this match would be to bet on the under 9.5 runs, taking into consideration the caliber of the starting pitchers.
Our betting prediction for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. the Boston Red Sox: Under 9.5 Runs.
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