Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5/10/26 13:35
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

-116
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

With Saturday’s game getting postponed, today’s contest will be the third in the series between the visiting Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox. Game time at Fenway Park in Boston, MA, is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EST, with coverage on MLB.TV.

Tampa Bay won the series opener on Thursday with a nice offensive performance, recording 13 hits in an 8-4 win. But in Game Two, it was all Boston as the Red Sox pitching staff shut the Rays down, winning 2-0.

Boston will send Payton Tolle to the mound to start the day. In three starts, Tolle has gone 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP. He shut out the Detroit Tigers in his last start (May 4), going seven innings and giving up one hit and one walk and no earned runs (but two unearned runs) while striking out eight. Tolle has allowed just one home run so far.

As for the Rays, Tampa Bay is giving Nick Martinez the ball to start the day. Martinez is 3-1 in seven starts with a 1.71 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. He has gone 6+ innings in four of his seven starts, including two of his last three.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4 Tampa Bay Rays
0.588 80 47 33
24 Boston Red Sox
0.432 81 35 46

Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  10
Boston Red Sox

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  3
Houston Astros
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  3
Houston Astros

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  6
Houston Astros

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Apr 23, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  4
New York Yankees
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
0 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  10
Boston Red Sox

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  5
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  0
Toronto Blue Jays

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
San Francisco Giants
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

May 6, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  0
Toronto Blue Jays

May 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 4, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

May 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
San Francisco Giants

May 2, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
San Francisco Giants

May 1, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  0
San Francisco Giants
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 28, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 27, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

67 %

Tampa Bay Rays

33 %

May 8, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 7, 2026 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Mar 13, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
7 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 7, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Feb 26, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
7 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. Boston leads the all-time series vs. Tampa Bay, 267-229.
  2. Boston is 14-24 ATS (run line) this season, while Tampa Bay is 23-15.
  3. The OVER is 19-19-1 for Boston and 17-18-3 for Tampa Bay.
  4. Betting Public: 54% of total tickets and 59% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay has hit well over the last week (.281), but hasn’t had much to show for it, scoring an average of four runs per game. Boston, on the other hand, has been hitting .231 and scoring five runs per game. However, in this contest, the starting pitchers will rule the day, and both have been pitching very well. I don’t know who will win, but I am confident the final score will be relatively low.

Our Tampa Bay vs. Boston Pick: UNDER 8.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

-116
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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks