Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
With Saturday’s game getting postponed, today’s contest will be the third in the series between the visiting Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox. Game time at Fenway Park in Boston, MA, is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EST, with coverage on MLB.TV.
Tampa Bay won the series opener on Thursday with a nice offensive performance, recording 13 hits in an 8-4 win. But in Game Two, it was all Boston as the Red Sox pitching staff shut the Rays down, winning 2-0.
Boston will send Payton Tolle to the mound to start the day. In three starts, Tolle has gone 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP. He shut out the Detroit Tigers in his last start (May 4), going seven innings and giving up one hit and one walk and no earned runs (but two unearned runs) while striking out eight. Tolle has allowed just one home run so far.
As for the Rays, Tampa Bay is giving Nick Martinez the ball to start the day. Martinez is 3-1 in seven starts with a 1.71 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. He has gone 6+ innings in four of his seven starts, including two of his last three.
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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.588 | 80 | 47 | 33 |
|
24
|
0.432 | 81 | 35 | 46 |
Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 8, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 8, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 8, 2026 - MLB
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
May 6, 2026 - MLB
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May 1, 2026 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 8, 2026 - MLB
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Boston Red Sox against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 8, 2026 - MLB
May 7, 2026 - MLB
Mar 20, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
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Feb 26, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Tampa Bay, 267-229.
- Boston is 14-24 ATS (run line) this season, while Tampa Bay is 23-15.
- The OVER is 19-19-1 for Boston and 17-18-3 for Tampa Bay.
- Betting Public: 54% of total tickets and 59% of the handle are on the UNDER.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay has hit well over the last week (.281), but hasn’t had much to show for it, scoring an average of four runs per game. Boston, on the other hand, has been hitting .231 and scoring five runs per game. However, in this contest, the starting pitchers will rule the day, and both have been pitching very well. I don’t know who will win, but I am confident the final score will be relatively low.
Our Tampa Bay vs. Boston Pick: UNDER 8.5
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