Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5/27/26 18:35
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

Baltimore ML

-107
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays (34-18, 15-13 Away) will try to stop the bleeding today when they take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The first pitch for this AL East battle is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EST. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV.

Tampa Bay leads the AL East by 2.5 games over the Yankees; Baltimore is 10.5 back. But the Orioles have been helping the Yankees make up ground. They beat the Rays 9-7 on Monday in Game 1 of the series and 6-1 yesterday.

As of late this morning, it was unknown who the Orioles are going to send to the mound to start the day. But the Rays will be going with Steven Matz. Matz is 4-1 in eight starts with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. His last start was against the Orioles last Wednesday, but at home. He was pulled after four innings, but had a solid outing (three hits, two walks, and one earned run along with five strikeouts). He has done his best work on the road this season, where he is 3-0 in four starts with a 3.47 ERA and a .212 OBA.

Baltimore’s lineup has had 38 at-bats vs. Matz and recorded eight hits for a .211 OBA.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Tampa Bay Rays
0.607 117 71 46
21 Baltimore Orioles
0.479 119 57 62

Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  4
Detroit Tigers

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Detroit Tigers

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  4
Detroit Tigers

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  4
Detroit Tigers

May 24, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Detroit Tigers

May 22, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  4
Detroit Tigers

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  0
New York Yankees
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
16 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
13 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
Baltimore Orioles
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
16 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

May 17, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
6 :  3
Miami Marlins

May 16, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  10
Miami Marlins

May 15, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  2
Miami Marlins
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

May 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

May 13, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

May 12, 2026 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

Baltimore Orioles

50 %

Tampa Bay Rays

50 %

May 26, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

May 25, 2026 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
9 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

May 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

May 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
16 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 5, 2026 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks

Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay leads the all-time series with Baltimore, 249-234.
  2. The Orioles are 10-16 ATS (run line) on the road this season; the Rays are 18-6 at home.
  3. The OVER is 10-12-2 at home for the Rays and 16-9-1 for the Orioles on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 34% of moneyline tickets and 16% of the handle are on the Orioles

Our Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I understand why the public is getting behind the Rays so much despite their recent struggles. The division leader should be able to handle the weaker teams in the division—but they haven’t. Tampa Bay is hitting a little better than Baltimore over the last week (.248 to .236). But while the Rays hit better, the Orioles scored 28 runs (five games) to five for the Rays.  So, based on what we know, I’m going with the Orioles to complete the sweep today.

Our Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay Pick: Orioles ML

Prediction:

 

Baltimore ML

-107
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