Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1/3/26 16:00
San Jose Sharks

Prediction:

 

Tampa Bay -1.5

+122
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 by Travis Pulver in NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-13-3, 13-4-3 Away) will try to keep the good times rolling Saturday afternoon when they take on the San Jose Sharks. The puck is scheduled to drop at 4 p.m. EST at the SAP Center at San Jose with coverage provided by ESPN+.

Tampa Bay is currently sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference’s Atlantic Division, one point behind the Detroit Red Wings. They’ve been on a roll since before Christmas with wins in their last six games, starting with a 6-4 victory over Carolina on the road on December 20; they last played on New Year’s Day, Thursday, January 1, vs. Los Angeles (a 5-3 victory). Head coach Jon Cooper has the team playing solid offense and defense. Nikita Kucherov leads the team in goals (19) and assists (35) and ranks sixth in the NHL in points (54).  As for San Jose, the Sharks ended a three-game losing streak after Christmas with a 6-3 win over Vancouver and have gone on to win three in a row. The team is in rebuild mode, but has shown a lot of progress this season. It helps, of course, to have solid young talent on the team like the 2024 draft’s No. 1 pick, Macklin Celebrini. He leads the team in goals (22) and assists (40), and ranks third in the NHL in points (62).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
51 40 24 16 28
7
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks
43 40 20 20 -15

Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  3
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  3
Anaheim Ducks

Dec 28, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  2
Florida Panthers

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 1, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  3
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  3
Anaheim Ducks

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  2
Florida Panthers

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
New York Islanders

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
8 :  4
New Jersey Devils

Dec 9, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
6 :  1
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks Latest matches
L L L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
3 :  4
San Jose Sharks

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
5 :  4
Anaheim Ducks

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
6 :  3
Vancouver Canucks

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
2 :  7
Vegas Golden Knights

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
4 :  2
San Jose Sharks

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
5 :  3
San Jose Sharks
W L W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 31, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
3 :  4
San Jose Sharks

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
4 :  2
San Jose Sharks

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
5 :  3
San Jose Sharks

Dec 16, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  6
San Jose Sharks

Dec 3, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
7 :  1
San Jose Sharks

Dec 1, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  6
San Jose Sharks
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
5 :  4
Anaheim Ducks

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
6 :  3
Vancouver Canucks

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
2 :  7
Vegas Golden Knights

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
6 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 9, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
1 :  4
Philadelphia Flyers

Tampa Bay Lightning against San Jose Sharks : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Lightning

33 %

San Jose Sharks

67 %

Jan 2, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
San Jose Sharks

Feb 7, 2023 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Feb 1, 2022 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay leads the all-time series vs. San Jose, 28-22-2.
  2. Tampa Bay has won eight of the last ten meetings with the Sharks.
  3. San Jose has won seven of their last ten home games, including their last game on New Year’s Eve vs. Minnesota (4-3 SO).
  4. Tampa Bay has won seven of its last ten road games, including the first two games of its current road trip.

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction

Tampa Bay is clearly the better team between the two and should win this game, but there is no value in betting the moneyline. So, the question becomes whether they’ll cover. The Lightning have won four of the six games in their current win streak by 2+ goals, but San Jose does have a rest advantage. However, the talent, depth, and coaching for Tampa Bay are good enough to overcome that and win by 2+ goals.

Our Tampa Bay vs. San Jose Pick: Lightning -1.5

Prediction:

 

Tampa Bay -1.5

+122
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Picks