Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
5/1/26 19:00
Tampa Bay Lightning

Prediction:

 

MTL Canadiens Total Goals - Under 2.5

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 by Edgar Jibran | in NHL Picks

The NHL Atlantic Division was definitely the most competitive throughout the regular season in the Eastern Conference, so it isn’t surprising to have such a wonderful series between the Montreal Canadiens and the Tampa Bay Lightning. In this regard, Game 6 will take place next Friday night in Montreal; however, the odds aren’t showing any favoritism to the Canadiens.

Despite this, it’s worth noting that the first regulation time victory for the Montreal Canadiens couldn’t arrive at a better moment, as they defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning on the road in Game 5, 3-2. Nevertheless, it cannot be ignored that in the referred game, the Canadiens were just able to shoot 24 times on goal, so in case they do not show dominance during the rest of the series, they could easily be eliminated by Tampa Bay.

As for the Tampa Bay Lightning, this series has also showed their offensive inconsistency, as they couldn’t score more than three goals in any of the first five games. Considering these factors, even though they undoubtedly are one of the most competitive in the league, depending on Nikita Kucherov, it couldn’t be the ideal solution during the playoffs, so players like Jake Guentzel and Brandon Hagel are expected to frequently appear in this game.

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Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Form

Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning Latest Matches

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 29, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 26, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 21, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 19, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 14, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
4 :  2
Montreal Canadiens
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 26, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 11, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  5
Columbus Blue Jackets

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 7, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
4 :  3
Florida Panthers

Apr 5, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
0 :  3
New Jersey Devils
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 29, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 21, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 19, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 14, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
4 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 12, 2026 - NHL

New York Islanders
1 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 4, 2026 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 29, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 26, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 21, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 19, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
New York Rangers
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 29, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 21, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 19, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 15, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
New York Rangers

Apr 13, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  3
Detroit Red Wings

Apr 4, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  1
Boston Bruins
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 26, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 11, 2026 - NHL

Boston Bruins
1 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 7, 2026 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
6 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 6, 2026 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
4 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Montreal Canadiens against Tampa Bay Lightning : Head to Head (H2H)

Montreal Canadiens

67 %

Tampa Bay Lightning

33 %

Apr 29, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 26, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 21, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 19, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Apr 9, 2026 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks

Players list

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens

J. Fowler

J. Dobes

J. Struble

K. Guhle

L. Hutson

A. Xhekaj

A. Carrier

M. Matheson

C. Caufield

A. Newhook

K. Dach

J. Evans

A. Texier

Z. Bolduc

J. Slafkovsky

N. Suzuki

P. Danault

J. Anderson

B. Gallagher

I. Demidov

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning

J. Johansson

A. Vasilevskiy

C. D'Astous

J. Moser

E. Lilleberg

D. Raddysh

R. McDonagh

E. Cernak

C. Perry

G. Goncalves

D. James

Z. Girgensons

N. Kucherov

Y. Gourde

B. Hagel

J. Guentzel

N. Paul

A. Cirelli

B. Point

O. Bjorkstrand

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Montreal Canadiens
CD Huachipato Tampa Bay Lightning
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Caufield (57 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
N. Kucherov (45 Goals)
Best assists
Canada N. Suzuki (84 Assists)
Best assists
N. Kucherov (91 Assists)

Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning Key Points

  1. The Tampa Bay Lightning couldn’t score more than three goals in any of their last seven road games.
  2. The Montreal Canadiens won only one of their last six home games in regulation time.
  3. The Tampa Bay Lightning have Nikita Kucherov and Darren Raddysh, the top shooting leaders in the series with 20 or more shots each.
  4. The Montreal Canadiens have Nick Suzuki and Lane Hutson, the top points leaders with 5 points each, but it’s worth noting that Suzuki hasn’t scored yet in the series.
Up to $250 to bet on Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning! 

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Our Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Taking all these factors into account, this game is also expected to have a low number of goals; however, the Montreal Canadiens are expected to take advantage of playing at home to take the offensive initiative throughout the game.

In conclusion, even though the Canadiens will play this game at home, it’s a reality that the Tampa Bay Lightning have more offensive players on their roster; however, they need to bring more support to Nikita Kucherov, as he has practically done the dirty job on his own. Therefore, the pick for the Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens is: MTL Canadiens Total Goals – Under 2.5!

Prediction:

 

MTL Canadiens Total Goals - Under 2.5

+110
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.