Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Florida Panthers
12/27/25 19:00
Tampa Bay Lightning

Prediction:

 

Panthers to win

-120
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Taavi Pailk | in NHL Picks

State rivals, the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, meet up for the third time this season on Saturday night at Amerant Bank Arena.

The two have split their previous two meetings, with both sides winning on the road. Most recently, Florida beat Tampa Bay 5-2 on Dec. 15, and the Lightning triumphed 3-1 in November. Their third head-to-head meeting comes with only one point separating the teams in the Atlantic Division standings.

The Panthers have enjoyed their best stretch of the season lately, winning eight of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Lightning have been going through a frustrating spell. In December, Jon Cooper’s men have lost seven of their 11 outings.

Cooper’s team has been hit hard by injuries, seriously disrupting its rhythm. However, starting goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy recently returned to the lineup, and the results have begun to improve. On Saturday, Tampa Bay has a chance to record a third consecutive victory.

In this matchup, neither side has won consecutive regular-season games since the last campaign. The two are among the elite teams in the league, and games between them are almost always very competitive and tight.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
5 Tampa Bay Lightning
106 2632 40 26 +59
25 Florida Panthers
84 2122 32 38 -25

Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning Latest Matches

Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  6
St. Louis Blues

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  3
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 17, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
3 :  2
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Florida Panthers
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  6
St. Louis Blues

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  3
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 17, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
3 :  2
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 7, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  1
New York Islanders

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
7 :  6
Columbus Blue Jackets
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
0 :  4
Florida Panthers

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Colorado Avalanche
6 :  2
Florida Panthers

Dec 10, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  4
Florida Panthers

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Nashville Predators
3 :  8
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
St. Louis Blues

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
6 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
St. Louis Blues

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
6 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
Los Angeles Kings

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
0 :  2
New York Islanders

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
3 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
4 :  8
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 9, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 8, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 2, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Florida Panthers against Tampa Bay Lightning : Head to Head (H2H)

Florida Panthers

67 %

Tampa Bay Lightning

33 %

Dec 27, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  5
Florida Panthers

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 30, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  6
Florida Panthers

Apr 28, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
0 :  2
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks

Players list

Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers

S. Bobrovsky

D. Tarasov

U. Balinskis

N. Mikkola

S. Jones

J. Petry

G. Forsling

A. Ekblad

E. Luostarinen

A. Greer

L. Kunin

J. Studnicka

M. Samoskevich

A. Lundell

J. Boqvist

B. Marchand

S. Bennett

C. Verhaeghe

E. Rodrigues

S. Reinhart

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning

J. Johansson

A. Vasilevskiy

D. Raddysh

S. Santini

C. D'Astous

M. Crozier

J. Moser

D. Carlile

J. Guentzel

N. Paul

G. Goncalves

C. Douglas

P. Holmberg

S. Sabourin

Z. Girgensons

N. Kucherov

A. Cirelli

B. Point

O. Bjorkstrand

Y. Gourde

Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning Key Points

  1. Including the playoffs, these teams have met 11 times since the start of last season, with Florida winning seven and Tampa Bay four.
  2. Florida is tied for the third-most home wins in the league, going 12-7-2 at Amerant Bank Arena.
  3. Tampa Bay holds a 10-4-3 road record this season.
  4. The Panthers lead the league with three multi-goal third-period comeback victories in 2025-26.

Our Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Florida beat Tampa Bay comfortably less than two weeks ago and has found some great form near the end of the calendar year. Only Colorado and Minnesota have won more home games than Paul Maurice’s team, and the Panthers appear to be in a good spot to make it 13 wins in 22 home games.

While the Lightning have Vasilevskiy back in the fold, they remain without key players. In Brandon Hagel, the team has lost its top goal-scorer, while Victor Hedman’s absence from defense has a huge impact on both ends of the ice.

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers: Panthers to win.

Prediction:

 

Panthers to win

-120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.