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by Erik Gibbs in NHL Picks
The Florida Panthers take on the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday, and Florida come into this divisional clash on an upswing, showing improved form after a stretch of uneven early results. Their recent games have included a combination of strong defensive play and timely scoring, highlighted by a productive homestand.
Florida's home-ice performances have been particularly impressive, where they have compiled one of the best records in the league so far this season. This has come from a disciplined defensive structure, steady goaltending, and an ability to close out tight games. Their recent victories over strong opponents demonstrate that they can elevate their play when needed, but injuries earlier in the season created fluctuations in performance that they are only now stabilizing.
Tampa Bay, meanwhile, have alternated between explosive offensive bursts and occasional defensive lapses. Prior to a recent setback, they had been one of the hottest teams in the NHL, producing a sustained run of wins that lifted them toward the top of the division. Their scoring depth allowed them to overwhelm opponents during that stretch, though an uncharacteristic defensive collapse in their most recent loss revealed vulnerabilities. Tampa Bay's road form has generally been steady, and they have shown they can respond quickly to disappointing outings, but maintaining consistency has been their biggest challenge.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
19 | 17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
|
13
|
18 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 12, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Nov 6, 2025 - NHL
Nov 4, 2025 - NHL
Nov 2, 2025 - NHL
Oct 30, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 12, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Oct 30, 2025 - NHL
Oct 26, 2025 - NHL
Oct 25, 2025 - NHL
Oct 23, 2025 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 6, 2025 - NHL
Nov 4, 2025 - NHL
Nov 2, 2025 - NHL
Oct 28, 2025 - NHL
Oct 18, 2025 - NHL
Oct 17, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
Nov 10, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Nov 6, 2025 - NHL
Nov 4, 2025 - NHL
Nov 1, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
Nov 1, 2025 - NHL
Oct 28, 2025 - NHL
Oct 25, 2025 - NHL
Oct 23, 2025 - NHL
Oct 11, 2025 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 10, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Nov 6, 2025 - NHL
Nov 4, 2025 - NHL
Oct 21, 2025 - NHL
Oct 18, 2025 - NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning against Florida Panthers : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 30, 2025 - NHL
Apr 28, 2025 - NHL
Apr 26, 2025 - NHL
Apr 24, 2025 - NHL
Apr 22, 2025 - NHL
Apr 15, 2025 - NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers Key Points
- The Panthers are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Lightning are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in the Panthers' last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in the Lightning's last 5 games
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Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction
Florida's leading players include their veteran winger who has started the season with a high scoring pace, including a strong stretch of consecutive goal-scoring performances. His leadership and production have been essential, especially while other key players recovered from injuries. Another top forward has contributed double-digit goals early in the campaign, giving Florida multiple scoring outlets. Their goaltender has also been dependable, posting strong numbers and keeping games within reach even when the team has slow starts.
Tampa Bay rely on their long-established core, led by one of the league's premier playmakers who remains central to their offensive structure. He sits near the top of the team's scoring list again this year, combining goal scoring with creative passing. Their major offseason addition has also made an immediate impact, leading the team in points and adding needed firepower. On defense, their captain continues to anchor the back end with high assist production, while their goaltender — historically elite — has had a slower start statistically but remains capable of game-changing performances.
Both teams have the tools to win, but Florida's excellent home form provides a small but meaningful edge. Tampa Bay's offense can break open any game, but Florida's steadier defensive play and recent momentum at home suggest they may be slightly better positioned to come out ahead in a close contest. Our prediction for Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Panthers to win.
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