Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
10/13/25 13:00
Boston Bruins

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5

-135
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 by Edgar Jibran | in NHL Picks

The NHL Atlantic Division will deliver one of the most attractive games on next Monday’s schedule, as the Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Boston Bruins at 11:00 am CST. Nevertheless, it’s surprising that the bookmakers’ odds are making the Tampa Bay Lightning heavy favorites to win despite the terrible performance they had during their first two games of the regular season.

Looking deeper at the Lightning’s performance, it must be noted that they have conceded five or more goals during their last three games, including their 0-7 humiliating defeat to the Florida Panthers. That result definitely destroyed all the good work and confidence they were building during the preseason, and even though Nikita Kucherov has been carrying all the weight, the rest of his teammates haven’t appeared yet.

As for the Boston Bruins, this team has renewed their expectations of becoming a competitive team in the 2025/26 season with a five-game winning streak, including their preseason activity. Additionally, it must be noted that their defense has remained very solid after only conceding one goal per game in two of their three regular season games. It should also be highlighted that Elias Lindholm and David Pastrnak are carrying the offense with 4 goals scored each.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins
6 4 3 1 4
14
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 3 1 2 -2

Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
5 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 30, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 28, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
Florida Panthers

Apr 26, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
Florida Panthers

Apr 24, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
5 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 30, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 24, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 22, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
1 :  5
Tampa Bay Lightning
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 28, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
Florida Panthers

Apr 26, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
Florida Panthers

Apr 17, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
0 :  4
New York Rangers

Apr 7, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
New York Rangers

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
Buffalo Sabres

Apr 3, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
1 :  3
Boston Bruins

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  4
Boston Bruins

Oct 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
3 :  1
Washington Capitals

Apr 15, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  4
Boston Bruins

Apr 13, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 10, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
5 :  2
Boston Bruins
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
1 :  3
Boston Bruins

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
3 :  4
Boston Bruins

Apr 15, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  4
Boston Bruins

Apr 10, 2025 - NHL

Chicago Blackhawks
5 :  2
Boston Bruins

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
1 :  5
Boston Bruins

Apr 1, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  3
Boston Bruins
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
3 :  1
Washington Capitals

Apr 13, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
7 :  2
New Jersey Devils

Apr 6, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
3 :  6
Buffalo Sabres

Apr 3, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
1 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Mar 29, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
1 :  2
Detroit Red Wings

Tampa Bay Lightning against Boston Bruins : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Lightning

67 %

Boston Bruins

33 %

Mar 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
6 :  2
Boston Bruins

Mar 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
4 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Jan 14, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  6
Boston Bruins

Jan 9, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 27, 2024 - NHL

Boston Bruins
1 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Feb 13, 2024 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  2
Boston Bruins

Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins Key Points

  1. The Boston Bruins have a three-game home winning streak, during which they were able to score three or more goals per game.
  2. The Tampa Bay Lightning couldn’t score more than two goals in regulation time when on the road since their 5-1 victory over the NY Rangers in April.
  3. The Boston Bruins have scored more than two goals in only two of their last five home meetings against the Lightning.
  4. The Tampa Bay Lightning saw a seven-game on-the-road winless streak against the Bruins ended with their most recent 6-2 victory in March.

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction

Given this context, both teams are expected to deliver their best offensive performance to keep on track with their goals; however, the Tampa Bay Lightning are likely to feel the most pressure since they haven't earned any points this season yet.

However, even though that pressure will force the Lightning to try to take the offensive lead in the game, the Bruins have shown themselves to be a very dangerous team due to the great individual performance of their forwards. Therefore, the pick for the Tampa Bay Lightning – Boston Bruins is: Over 5.5 Goals!

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5

-135
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Picks