Sudan vs Burkina Faso Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Sudan
12/31/25 11:00
Burkina Faso

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-250
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 by Erik Gibbs in AFCON Picks

Sudan and Burkina Faso arrive at their decisive Group E fixture showing sharply contrasting recent form, with Sudan carrying renewed confidence after a rebound result and Burkina Faso relying on consistency built across the opening matches. Sudan's tournament began in difficult fashion, as they struggled to contain sustained pressure in their opening match and conceded multiple goals without reply.

Burkina Faso's path has been steadier. They opened the group with a dramatic comeback win that highlighted their mental resilience and ability to stay competitive deep into matches. 

With both teams entering this match on equal points, recent results suggest Burkina Faso have been marginally more consistent, while Sudan have shown sharper short-term momentum.

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Sudan vs Burkina Faso Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
3 2 1 0 1 0
3
Sudan
Sudan
3 2 1 0 1 -2

Sudan and Burkina Faso Latest Matches

Sudan
Sudan Latest matches
W D L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

Nov 26, 2025 - Arab Cup

Lebanon
1 :  2
Sudan
W D D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Mauritania

Aug 29, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

Aug 23, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria

Aug 19, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
0 :  0
Sudan

Nov 26, 2025 - Arab Cup

Lebanon
1 :  2
Sudan

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Oman
2 :  0
Sudan
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Burkina Faso
2 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  2
Niger

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
0 :  1
Burkina Faso
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Burkina Faso
2 :  1
Equatorial Guinea

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  2
Niger

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
3 :  1
Ethiopia

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
0 :  0
Egypt

Aug 16, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Burkina Faso
1 :  2
Madagascar
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Sierra Leone
0 :  1
Burkina Faso

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  6
Burkina Faso

Aug 13, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Mauritania
1 :  0
Burkina Faso

Aug 2, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  0
Burkina Faso

Jun 2, 2025 - International Friendlies

Tunisia
2 :  0
Burkina Faso

Sudan - Burkina Faso: Form Analysis

Sudan's opening setback exposed issues in defensive spacing and ball retention, particularly when forced to chase the game. However, their response in the following match was markedly improved.

Sudan showed greater tactical discipline, sat deeper in a compact block, and limited their opponent's clear chances while capitalizing on a rare scoring opportunity.

That narrow victory has kept them firmly in contention and restored belief within the squad.

Burkina Faso's recent performance reinforced their reputation as a team that rarely loses structure, even when trailing. In their second outing, Burkina Faso were edged out by a single goal in a tightly contested match that could easily have gone either way. Despite the loss, they maintained shape, limited space between the lines, and avoided defensive collapse.

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Burkina Faso v Sudan last Lineups

Sudan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

21
M. Abuzaid Salman
25
S. Barglan
3
Mohamed Ahmed
6
M. Abdelgader Karshoum
12
Bakhit Khamis
5
W. Khidir
8
A. Omer Yagoub
13
A. Taifour
26
A. Abdallah Yunis
10
M. Abdulrahman
14
M. Eisa
7
D. Ouattara
27
P. Kabore
10
B. Traore
6
Z. Mohamed
18
I. Ouedraogo
20
G. Sangare
26
A. Kouassi
12
E. Tapsoba
14
I. Dayo
25
S. Yago
16
H. Koffi

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Burkina Faso

Sudan & Burkina Faso Squad Analysis

Sudan's improvement has coincided with strong individual contributions, most notably from goalkeeper Monged Abuzaid, who played a decisive role in their most recent victory. Abuzaid delivered a composed performance under pressure, making several key saves and showing authority in his positioning and decision-making. His reliability has allowed Sudan to defend deeper when required, knowing that mistakes behind the back line are less likely to be punished.

For Burkina Faso, defensive stability has been anchored by Edmond Tapsoba.

Tapsoba has consistently won aerial duels, read danger early, and stepped forward confidently to intercept passes, contributing to Burkina Faso's structured defensive shape. His presence on set pieces has also added an attacking dimension.

In midfield and attack, Burkina Faso benefit from experienced contributors such as Bertrand Traoré, whose creativity and ball-carrying ability provide an outlet when the team looks to progress play. While not overly reliant on a single scorer, Burkina Faso's attacking unit offers balance and versatility through named, proven options.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sudan
CD Huachipato Burkina Faso
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
G. Minoungou (1 Goals) E. Tapsoba (1 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
D. Ouattara (1 Assists)

Sudan and Burkina Faso Stats in AFCON

Sudan
Sudan
Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
50%
Victories
50%
0%
Draw
0%
50%
Defeats
50%
2
Total goals per match
2
0.5
Goals scored per match
1
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
No goals conceded
0%

Sudan - Burkina Faso Key Points

  1. The Over is 1-1 in Burkina Faso's last 2 games
  2. The Over is 1-1 in Sudan's last 2 games
  3. Sudan has conceded 8 goals in its last 5 games.
  4. Sudan's only goal in the competition? An own goal.
  5. Burkina Faso has scored an average of two goals in its last six games.
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Our Sudan vs Burkina Faso Prediction

This match effectively functions as a knockout tie, with qualification at stake. Burkina Faso's greater tournament experience may prove valuable, particularly in managing match tempo and handling pressure moments. They are likely to favor a controlled approach, focusing on possession security and structured buildup. Sudan, by contrast, may once again adopt a compact defensive shape, aiming to frustrate their opponents and exploit moments on the counterattack.

The contest is expected to be physically demanding and tactically cautious, especially in the opening stages. Burkina Faso appear slightly stronger on paper due to depth and experience, but Sudan's recent defensive solidity and improved organization suggest this will be a closely contested encounter.

Our prediction for Sudan vs Burkina Faso: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

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Sudan vs Burkina Faso - Other Interesting Picks

Bertrand Traore Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +175

A lively presence since the start of the competition, Bertrand Traoré is the player who poses the biggest threat in the opposition's final third. Burkina Faso is counting on him to make the difference.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sudan vs Burkina Faso Picks