Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

UFC - UFC Fight Night

Stephen Thompson
7/12/25 19:00
Gabriel Bonfim

Prediction:

 

Fight to be decided by Decision

+115
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) and Gabriel Bonfim (17-1-0) will square off on Saturday night at Bridgestone Arena in Tennessee. Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson will be eager to prove that he still has a lot of fight left despite being 42. Known for his explosive striking and karate-based style, Thompson is currently riding on a two-fight slide. His latest fight was in October 2024, where Joaquin Buckley defeated him via a KO punch in the third round.

Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim, on the other hand, comes into this welterweight clash as the bookmaker's favorite. The Brazilian fighter is 15 years younger than Thompson and has enjoyed great results lately. Bonfim recovered from his KO/TKO loss against Dalby in November 2023 to defeat Ange Loosa and Khaos Williams. He is an aggressive grappler who has improved his striking skills lately and can cause problems for any opponent.

Stephen Thompson - Gabriel Bonfim Key Points

  1. Bonfim won five of his last six UFC fights.
  2. The total rounds went under 2.5 in five of the last six Bonfim fights.
  3. Bonfim won via submission in four of his last five UFC wins.
  4. Thompson lost four of his last five UFC fights.

Our Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim Prediction

Gabriel Bonfim carries the favorite tag into this fight as he looks to fast-track into the division's Top 15. A win against a decorated fighter like Thompson could also improve his reputation as one of the best talents in the 170-pound category. He combines aggressive striking skills and high-level submission grappling, averaging 3.68 takedowns every 15 minutes. Impressively, the Brazilian boasts a takedown accuracy of 76%. Bonfim should get an early victory if he takes this classic prospect versus veteran showdown to the mat.

Our prediction for Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim: Fight to be decided by Decision

Prediction:

 

Fight to be decided by Decision

+115
$150 offered for betting!

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Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim Picks