Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Current Form: Cincinnati captured back-to-back wins over the Philadelphia Phillies to win that series. More importantly, the Reds cleared two games above .500 at 26-24, placing them fourth in the NL Central Division.
St. Louis lost three of its last four games, including the last two games of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals currently occupy the No.2 spot in the NL Central with a 28-21 record, 2.5 games below the pace-setters, the 30-18 Milwaukee Brewers.
Matchup & Odds: The Reds have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Cardinals. In their last 3 head-to-head games, Cincinnati averaged 5.67 runs per game while stifling St. Louis to 3.67 runs per game.
Reds RHP Chase Petty (0-0, 4.76 ERA) will take the bump after giving up 3 earned runs over 5.2 innings in a 4-5 loss to the Chicago Cubs on May 4.
Cardinals RHP Kyle Leahy (5-3, 3.94 ERA) has surrendered only two earned runs over his last 16.1 innings across three starts. Leahy delivered the goods in his last start, conceding one earned run over 6 innings to help the Cardinals secure a 4-2 win over the Kansas City Royals on May 16.
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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
0.5 | 118 | 59 | 59 |
|
21
|
0.479 | 117 | 56 | 61 |
Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals Latest Matches
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Cincinnati Reds against St. Louis Cardinals : Head to Head (H2H)
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Cincinnati Reds - St. Louis Cardinals Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 12 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Kyle Leahy has pitched tremendously well in his last three starts, though he may find himself struggling against the Reds offense that averages 4.5 runs per game this season and 4.8 runs per game over the last five games.
Chase Petty looks to bounce back from a disappointing debut two weeks ago. However, the Reds starter did not have a good memory against the Cardinals. In his first and only mound appearance against St. Louis, Petty gave up 9 earned runs over 2.1 innings in a 1-9 loss.
With both starters projected to falter in the second game of the doubleheader, the OVER 9.5 runs is looking like a promising pick for this game. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 12 home games and in 4 of St. Louis' last 5 road games against Cincinnati.
Our betting prediction for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. the Cincinnati Reds: Over 9.5 Runs
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